THE COMMONWEALTH, 1900-14 113
other gold-using countries ; but the policy is more than usually
dangerous owing to our peculiar sensitiveness to derangements
of world credit. The key to this situation, as indicated by
Professor Copland, lies in the tendency for bank policy in
Australia to be regulated by the size of funds held in London
by Australian banks. The connexion between bank policy and
the rate of exchange in Australia, and the balances of loan funds
in London awaiting transfer to Australia, is sufficiently obvious.
That it has been a very persistent factor in our financial relations
with London, and still influences, perhaps unduly, our bank
policy cannot be doubted ; and it constitutes the greatest weak-
ness or the greatest strength of our financial system, according
to the two opposing schools of thought on the subject.
But to return to the history of the period. The year 1909
was one of the most remarkable of the period for many reasons;
but the chief of these was the rapidity of the revival which now
took place. The 1908-9 wool season was ‘one long succession of
pleasant surprises’; and it was, doubtless, due to the recovery
of the wool trade that business so quickly took on a sanguine
tone. By the middle of the year the country was again moving
on to prosperity with easier monetary and more active invest-
ment conditions. Every state enjoyed a splendid season, wheat
and wool prices were high and metal prices improving, while
industry was quickening everywhere. These circumstances
formed the chief justification for a big series of loan issues for
developmental works.
But, in order to understand the phase of prosperity which
now commenced, the vigorous world developments of the period
must be considered. A great outburst of investment took place
which involved all the primary raw materials, especially wool,
wheat, cotton, silk, and rubber. Australia’s position in the face
of this increased industrial demand was most favoured. A wave
of prosperity ensued which swept the country along with it
until 1913. The two features which stand out most prominently
in our economic history at this time were, first, a remarkable
increase in prices which affected Australia in common with
the rest of the world ; and, secondly, the growing burden of the
public debt. Reserving the matter of the public debt for the
next chapter, we must consider the movement of prices a little
further. It will be remembered that since 1850 prices had
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