TO CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS 253
been associated with healthy business; nor, on the other hand,
have poor seasons invariably coincided with depression.! That
this is substantially true-cannot be doubted; and the reason,
at any rate in recent years, is to be found in the diminishing
dependence of the total volume of Australian production upon
weather conditions. The balance which is being established
between primary and secondary industries, the application of
science to Australian rural problems, the measures to combat
the onset of drought which have been taken in every state, the
improvement in transport facilities, the progressive exploita-
bon of new resources, the great extent of the continent, its
climatic variety and the improbability of adverse seasons affect-
ing the whole area simultaneously, all these are helping to
stabilize production. The steady uninterrupted march in the
total value of production is sufficient evidence of this fact.
That there is a diminishing degree of coincidence between
seasonal conditions and business fluctuations merely emphasizes
the importance to be attached to the effect upon the domestic
credit situation of the introduction of capital. The wide swings
in business prosperity have been traced in every major instance
to abrupt fluctuations in the rate at which capital was being
introduced, and to the strain thrown upon the banking organiza-
tion by the necessity for adapting Australian monetary policy
to the condition of world credit as expressed by the readiness
or reluctance of London to lend on long terms for Australian
development.
That a more scientific control of borrowing from the Australian
end has not been developed is, of course, due to the fact that all
branches of business, and particularly importing and contracting
enterprises, are vitally interested in promoting and maintaining
the flow of foreign capital. Large annual loans mean an en-
larged purchasing power which is radiated to the remotest
settlement in the country, they mean expanding customs
revenue and easy conditions for government finance, they mean
a large volume of merchandise passing through warehouses,
they mean corresponding stimulation of exports and that spells
satisfaction to export agencies, they mean profits to the banks
and to the smallest traders. The farmer, expectant of subsidies
1 See Copland, Appendix to Development and Migration Report on Unemploy-
ment. 1928.