Mittheilungen aus der Geschäfts- und Sterblichkeits-Statistik der Lebensversicherungsbank für Deutschland zu Gotha für die fünfzig Jahre von 1829 - 1878

Migration and business cycles

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Monograph

Identifikator:: 1733889647

URN:: urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-108562

Document type:: Monograph

Author:: Walter, Alex http://d-nb.info/gnd/120611945; Engel, Hans http://d-nb.info/gnd/1011980991

Title:: Die landwirtschaftlichen Zölle

Place of publication:: Berlin

Publisher:: Dt. Schriftenverl.

Year of publication:: 1926

Scope:: 111 Seiten

Digitisation:: 2020

Collection:: Economics Books

Usage license:: Get license information via the feedback formular.

Document type:: Monograph

Structure type:: Contents

Collection:: Economics Books

115 MIGRATION AND BUSINESS CYCLES being here for a permanent sojourn. The noteworthy difference in the two sections of Chart 21 is that when nonemigrants are included the departures of aliens were so numerous from December, 1907, to August, 1908, inclusive, that there was practically a continuous excess of alien departures over arrivals, suggesting that the tem- porary element in the alien population is more susceptible to changes in employment conditions than those aliens officially classified as immigrants. The Depression of 1911. The year 1910 was marked by a gradual decline into a mild de- pression in 1911, and dullness continued through the first few months of 1912. In 1911 crops were very poor, but in 1912 they were much better, and the industrial dullness in the early months of that year gave way to a great activity in the latter part of the year, accompanied by reports of labor scarcity. The depression of 1911 is not marked in the Federal Reserve Bank’s clearings index, nor does it appear as a below-trend period in our three-state index of factory employment, though this index does show a relatively continuous decline from the peak in January, 1910, to the middle of 1912. The movement is shown more distinctly as a depression in the fluctuations of pig iron production and in the male immigra- tion curve. Net Male Alien Arrivals and Changes in the!NumberiUnemployed. In the depression of 1911 we have an opportunity for the first time to study the net immigration of males by months. In Table 27 and Chart 22 we have a comparison designed to make clear the numerical proportion between changes in the number unemployed in non-agricultural pursuits, as estimated by Professor Hart, and the net additions to the working population through migration. For this purpose the number of alien male immigrants and nonimmigrants combined, less the number of alien male emi- grants and nonemigrants, has been taken to represent the indus- trially significant net immigration. It will be recalled that somewhat similar comparisons have been made with the same data for twelve- month periods from 1903 to 1914 (Chart 20). The present discussion merely presents the same data in a different manner. In the left-hand section of Chart 22 the comparison is between the net arrivals for three-month periods and the net change in numbers unemployed in the same three-month periods. In this 3

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