Sittlichkeit in Ziffern?

The shadow of the world's future, or The earth's population possibilities & the consequences of the present rate of increase of the earth's inhabitants

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Monograph

Identifikator:: 1779816413

URN:: urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-167099

Document type:: Monograph

Author:: Michels, Robert http://d-nb.info/gnd/118733737

Title:: Sittlichkeit in Ziffern?

Place of publication:: München [u.a.]

Publisher:: Duncker & Humblot

Year of publication:: 1928

Scope:: VIII, 229 Seiten

Digitisation:: 2021

Collection:: Economics Books

Usage license:: Get license information via the feedback formular.

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Document type:: Monograph

Structure type:: Index

Collection:: Economics Books

to THE SHADOW OF THE WORLD’S FUTURE Despite the fact that we are compelled to recognise how little we know of the details of Man’s history, there are certain things that stand out significantly. One of these is the progress of his numbers. The rate of their increase has been amazingly slow. In recent times, both in America and in Australia, this rate has, for populations of moderate size, attained to 3 per cent. per annum. The world as a whole, however, has never reached anything like such a rate, during the periods at least for which there have been accurate records. On the other hand, the numerical increase has been very slow indeed. Such a fact commands our attention, for. if we are to grasp the meaning of rates, and envisage them in their proper perspective, we have to realise what they imply for the future of the race. When we think merely of individual families, the rate of 3 per cent. per annum may not appear large as a measure of its increase. To grasp its significance it will be sufficiently near the mark to suppose that for every 1000 persons in the population about 126 are married women between the ages 15 and 44 inclusive, the important range of the reproductive ages of womanhood. If then the deaths per annum amounted to 12 per thousand, the annual increase would have to be 42 per thousand for the annual rate of increase to be 3 per cent. Thus for the increase to be by births alone, each of the 126 child-bearing women would have to bear a child about every three years, on the average. In the case of healthy women this, of course, is not the physiologically possible limit, but it is, nevertheless, a high frequency. As a whole the world is not growing at anything like the rate of 3 per cent., and, as far as one can judge, that rate never was attained. One perforce asks: ‘ At what rate has the world’s population increased in the period during which it has

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