10 Jahre Rote Gewerkschafts-Internationale

Migration and business cycles

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Monograph

Identifikator:: 1834115493

URN:: urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-222011

Document type:: Monograph

Author:: Lozovskij, Solomon Abramovič; Lozovskij, Solomon Abramovič http://d-nb.info/gnd/104314591

Title:: 10 Jahre Rote Gewerkschafts-Internationale

Place of publication:: Moskau

Publisher:: Rote Gewerkschafts-Internationale

Year of publication:: 1930

Scope:: 47 S.

Digitisation:: 2022

Collection:: Economics Books

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Chapter

Document type:: Monograph

Structure type:: Chapter

Title:: III. Der revolutionierende Einfluß der Komintern

Collection:: Economics Books

SUMMARY 241 is not seen for almost a year afterward, but in other instances the fluctuations in employment and migration appear to be substantially concurrent. The more common lag in the migration fluctuations is from one to five months. Relative Violence of Cyclical Fluctuations. On the whole, the changes in migration are more erratic and more violent than those in industry. The seasonal variation in migration is more marked and the amplitude of the cyclical move- ments is, as a rule, greater than that of the corresponding fluctua- tions in employment. This comparison, however, refers to devia- tions in terms of percentages, and not to the number of persons affected by fluctuations in employment and migration respectively. An industrial depression usually brings a sharp decrease in immi- gration; but, owing to the larger total number of persons involved, a decline in employment which in percentage terms appears relative- ly less than the concurrent decline in immigration, may affect a much larger number of persons. However, as explained more fully in Chapters V and VI, numerical comparisons between migration and employment are most appropriate when cumulative migration is compared with changes in the number employed. Effect of Migration upon the Cycle in Employment. The demonstrated sensitiveness of immigration and emigration to employment conditions may lead to an exaggerated estimation of the efficacy of migration as a safety-valve for an overcrowded labor market in depression periods. We have seen that depression retards immigration and accelerates emigration, but the weight of evidence is, not only that these compensating movements are often not numerically adequate to decrease the number of workers in this country in a period of depression, but that, on the contrary, even in periods of low employment net immigration is sometimes steadily adding to the supply of workers. While immigration falls off materially when employment is slack, it never ceases entirely, and a considerable number of new workers arrive even during a de- pression period. True, there is at the same time an exodus, a movement which occasionally has exceeded immigration in volume, but, judging from the few depression periods for which complete statistics are available, there is, when the entire duration of the period of dull employment is considered, always a net immigration. (See Directors’ footnote “a”, p. 120). ~ + A

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