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Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

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Full text: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

Monograph

Identifikator:
895603128
URN:
urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-10120
Document type:
Monograph
Author:
Merck, Klemens http://d-nb.info/gnd/1064962637
Title:
Merck's Warenlexikon für Handel, Industrie und Gewerbe
Edition:
Sechste, völlig neu bearbeitete Auflage
Place of publication:
Leipzig
Publisher:
G.A. Gloeckner, Verlag für Handelswissenschaft
Year of publication:
1919
Scope:
1 Online-Ressource (IV, 555 Seiten)
Digitisation:
2017
Collection:
Economics Books
Usage license:
Get license information via the feedback formular.

Chapter

Document type:
Monograph
Structure type:
Chapter
Title:
M
Collection:
Economics Books

Contents

Table of contents

  • Study week on the econometric approach to development planning
  • Title page
  • Le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • La semaine d'etude sur le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • L'audience et le discours du saint-pere
  • Les «semaines d'etude» et leur reglement
  • The analysis of economic systems / Richard Stone, Cambridge University - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • Toward a verdict on macroeconomic simultaneous equations / Herman O.A. Wold, Universitets Statistika Institution - Uppsala - Sverige
  • Econometric analysis for assessing the efficacy of public investment / R. Dorman, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • On the concept of optimal economic growth / Tjalling C. Koopmans, Cowles Foundation for research in Econimics at Yale University New Haven, Conn. - U.S.A.
  • Croissance optimales dans un modele macroeconomique / E. Malinvaud, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques Paris - France
  • Dynamic structure and estimation in economy-wide econometric models / FranklinM. Fisher, Massachuetts Institute of Technology - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • Decision rules and simulation techniques in development programming / Henri Theil, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool - Econometrisch Institut Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Some observations on countercyclical fiscal policy and its effects on economic growth / Trygve Haavelmo, Universitetet i Oslo - Oslo - Norge
  • Balanced growth and technical progress in a log-linear multisectoral economy / Michio Morishima, Osaka University - Osaka - Japan
  • A new theoretical approach to the problems of economic growth / Luigi L. Pasinetti, King's College - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • The role of capital in economic development / Maurice Allais, Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Mines Paris - France
  • Spatial organization and regional planning: Some hypotheses for econometric analysis / Walter Isard, Department of regional Science - University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, Penn. - U.S.A.
  • The rates of long-run economic growth and capital transfer from developed to underdeveloped areas / Wassily Leontief, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • The social transformation for national development / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institue - Calcutta - India
  • Statistical tools and techniques in perspective planning in India / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institute - Calcutta - India
  • Econometric analysis and agricultural and development plans / D. Gale Johnson, University of Chicago - Chicago - U.S.A.
  • Selection and implementation the econometrics of the future / Ragnar Frisch, Universitetet i Oslo - Sosialøkonomisk Institutt - Oslo- Norge
  • The economic framework of regional planning / Jan Tinbergen, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Conclusions
  • Contents

Full text

652 
PONTIFICIAE ACADEMIAE SCIENTIARVM SCRIPTA VARIA - 
The whole picture becomes radically different in the pre- 
sent model, where the fulfilment of the equilibrium condi- 
tions at time zero is no longer the end but just the beginning 
of the whole story. These conditions cannot remain the same 
as time goes on; because technical progress — whether uniform 
over the whole economy or not — causes each single component 
of the summations in (V.r1) to change. This means that the 
way in which each one of conditions (V.8) and (V.11) are ful- 
filled must be continually different as time goes on. The size of 
the various sectors that may satisfy those conditions in a given 
period of time is necessarily different from the size of the same 
sectors which ensured their fulfilment in the previous period, 
and again is necessarily different from the size of the same sec- 
‘ors which can ensure their fulfilment in the following period. 
But the discussion of the previous chapter now allows us 
to go far beyond these general remarks. By hypothesis, almost 
all technical coefficients are decreasing in time. This means 
that, unless the demand coefficients increase in the same pro- 
portion, condition (V.r1) is bound to become under-satisfied 
as time goes on. But we know already that no demand coef- 
ficient can increase indefinitely, because eventually all demand 
coefficients reach saturation level. Therefore we must conclude 
that condition (V.11), as it stands, inevitably manifests a ten- 
dency to become under-satisfied, i.e. to generate unemploy- 
ment, as time goes on. 
Fortunately there are two factors, operating in the long 
run, which come to counterbalance the above mentioned ten- 
dency. These two factors must now be introduced into the 
model. One of them is the same one which causes the whole 
trouble: technical progress. So far in this chapter technical 
progress has been considered in the form of increases of pro- 
ductivity. But it has been pointed out earlier that technical 
progress also takes the form of introducing new goods. Our 
model must therefore be completed now by opening it to the 
possibility of the introduction of new sectors. This can be 
[10] Pasinetti - pag. 82
	        

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Study Week on the Econometric Approach to Development Planning. North-Holland Publ. Co. [u.a.], 1965.
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