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INTRODUCTION
that led to the decline of the price of wheat in England from an
average of 45s. 1d. in 1882 to an average of 22s. 10d. in 1894. The
ofiech of the last of the causes of disturbance referred to at the end
of the last paragraph is seen in the history of the iron trade after 1870.
The average price of pig-iron warrants at Glasgow in the years 1869
to 1871 varied between about 53s. and 59s. per ton ; in 1872 the average
rose to about 102s., in 1873 to 117s., after which it fell steadily to
about 54s. in 1877. The sudden rise was due to the fact that, vast as
our own commerce and industry had already become in 1872, it was not
yet equal to the demands that were then made on it for the further
expansion of commerce by the laying of numerous railways, and the
establishment of numerous factories in America and Germany! But
in the subsequent course of iron prices the general equalising tendency
of commerce can still be detected. The vast demand of 1871 to 1873
led almost immediately to such an increase in the means of producing
iron, that when the next great expansion of the demand came about it
was met with greater ease and with less oscillation of prices. From
1877 to 1887 the extreme variations in average annual price of pig-iron
warrants at Glasgow were only about 40s. and 54s. 6d.
16. Inevitable as the hardships attendant on such disturbances are,
still the improvements that bring about such incidental results are of
value to the world in the long run, in so far as they afford the means
of permanently lightening human labour in the production and disbri-
hution of the means of satisfying human wants. That they do so for
an ever-increasing proportion of the inhabitants of the world would
appear to follow from the fact to which attention has already been
drawn, the increasing proportion of the necessaries of life and the
articles of most general consumption entering into the aggregate com-
merce of the world. The large and quick-sailing ships, the numberless
railway trains, in short all the vast apparatus that now stands ab the
service of commerce, can be kept working only by transporting com-
modities consumed in the largest quantity, such therefore as satisfy the
wants of the multitude.
17. But if there is any permanent benefit to mankind at large from
she development of which we are now speaking, it is worthy of note
bhat the full advantage of this nature is not reaped until every kind of
production is carried on in the place that has the greatest natural advan=-
tages for the supply of a particular market. By natural advantages
are meant such as these—a favourable soil and climate, the existence of
facilities for communication external and internal so far as these lie in
the nature of the surface and physical features, the existence of valuable
minerals in favourable situations, and especially of the materials for
1 The annual increase of railway mileage in America rose steadily from 1,177
miles in 1865 to 7,379 miles in 1871. The annual exports of iron and steel from
the United Kingdom to the United States increased steadily from 186,000 tons in
1865 to 1,064,000 tons in 1871; those to Germany, Holland, and Belgium
increased year by year from 255.000 tons in 1866 to 1,015,000 tons in 1872.