MIGRATION AND BUSINESS CYCLES
to make use of them. More details of its construction are given
in the following paragraphs.
The Estimate for Massachusetts.
An examination of Chart 9 will aid in following the process used
in constructing the estimate of factory employment in Massa-
chusetts. The fragments of curves in the lower part of the chart
CHART 9
ILLUSTRATION OF METHOD OF ESTIMATING FACTORY EMPLOYMENT
IN MASSACHUSETTS:
550 ~
Sou IN
30, wr
ton A ) ra NN
339 a
Sow Siig
S250 . 2
3 oa 7 = CENSUS
5, 200 |
2 Fe," ESTIMATE
S150
2 AN = SAMPLE
100
50
0 Z889 1690 | 1851] 1692 | 1893 | 1894 | 1895 | 1896 1899 | 1900 1903 | 1904
sSee explanation in accompanying text.
represent the unadjusted data for numbers employed in identical .
establishments. Each fragment is twenty-four months long and,
for the second twelve months, runs substantially parallel to the
succeeding fragment. The upper curve on the chart represents the
revised estimate of factory employment in Massachusetts obtained
by (1) splicing the fragments together at the December points which
are common to two fragments, and (2) raising the resulting index
to make it consistent with the complete enumeration of the Census
years.
The black circle for 1899 represents the Census average for that
9See Table 15.
70)