XIL—PARTIAL CORRELATION. 247
scale starting from zero, as very small values of pauperism occur :
a scale of out-relief ratio is taken along the angle between the
back and bottom of the box, starting from zero at the left: finally,
the scale of earnings is drawn out towards the observer along the
angle between the left-hand side and the bottom, but as earnings
lower than 12s. do not occur, the scale may start from 12s. at the
corner. Suitable scales are: pauperism, 1 in.=1 per cent. ; out-
relief ratio, 1 in.=1 unit; earnings, 1 in.=1s.; and the inside
measures of the model may then be 17 in. x 10 in. x 8 in. high,
the dimensions of the model constructed. Given these three
scales, any set of observed values determine a point within the
“box.” The earnings and out-relief ratio for some one union are
noted first, and the corresponding point marked on the baseboard ;
a steel wire is then inserted vertically in the base at this point
and cut off at the height corresponding, on the scale chosen, to
the pauperism in the same union, being finally capped with a
small ball or knob to mark the “point” clearly. The model
shows very well the general tendency of the pauperism to be the
higher the lower the wages and the higher the out-relief, for the
highest points lie towards the back and right-hand side of the
model. If some representation of all three equations of regression
were to be inserted in the model, the result would be rather
confusing ; so the most important equation, viz. the second, giving
the average rate of pauperism in terms of the other variables, may
be chosen. This equation represents a plane : the lines in which
it cuts the right- and left-hand sides of the “box” should be
marked, holes drilled at equal intervals on these lines on the
opposite sides of the box (the holes facing each other), and threads
stretched through these holes, thus outlining the plane as shown
in the figure. In the actual model the correlation-diagrams (like
fig. 40) corresponding to the three pairs of variables were drawn
on the back sides and base: they represent, of course, the eleva-
tions and plan of the points.
The student possessing some skill in handicraft would find it
worth while to make such a model for some case of interest to
himself, and to study on it thoroughly the nature of the plane of
regression, and the relations of the partial and total correlations.
16. If we write
Ol...” Bos...) . (13)
it may be shown that R,, . , is the correlation between
x, and the expression on the right-hand side of the regression-
equation, say €,,5 . .. .,. Where
€103....=0rost...n Zot bi300. n.23+ Ce Fines ity La . (14)