THEORY OF STATISTICS.
Grandparents and Grandchildren : Parents not-light-eyed.
Proportion of light-eyed amongst the
Ts of a lL | tie = oe =58'3 per cent.
parents . .
Proportion of light-eyed amongst the
ais of nigh LL B08 503 mn
grandparents ~~. : {ey LS
In both cases the partial association is quite well-marked and
positive ; the total association between grandparents and grand-
children cannot, then, be due wholly to the total associations
between grandparents and parents, parents and children, re-
spectively. There is an ancestral heredity, as it is termed, as
well as a parental heredity.
We need not discuss the partial association between children and
parents, as it is comparatively of little consequence. It may be
noted, however, as regards the above results, that the most
important feature may be brought out by stating three ratios
only.
If 4 and B are positively associated, (4.8)/(B)>(4)/N.
If 4 and C are positively associated in the universe of Bs,
(4BC)/(BC)>(4B)/(B). Hence (4)/N,(4B)/(B),and (4BC)/(BC)
form an ascending series. Thus we have from the given data—
ion of light- among
Foi " 2 Ci > 2 = (yy = 116 peleent,
Proportion of light- amongst the
en of ht parents : ENABY(E) S321 ss
Proportion of light-eyed amongst the
children of light-eyed parents and | =(4B0)/(BC)=864 ,,
grandparents : :
If the great-grandparents, etc., etc., were also known, the series
might be continued, giving (4BCD)/(BCD), (ABCDE)/(BCDE),
and so forth. The series would probably ascend continuously
though with smaller intervals, 4 and D being positively associated
in the universe of BC’s, 4 and Z in the universe of BC D’s, etc.
6. The above examples will serve to illustrate the practical
application of partial associations to concrete cases. = The general
nature of the fallacies involved in interpreting associations
between two attributes as if they were necessarily due to the
most obvious form of direct causation is more clearly exhibited
by the following theorem :—
If A and B are independent within the universe of C’s and also
within the universe of v's, they will nevertheless be associated
within the universe at large, unless C vs independent of either A
or B or both.
48