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CHAPTER XI.—AGRICULTURAL PRICES.
Statistical records of the prices of the principal farm products
have been collected by the Ministry of Agriculture since 1904.
Earlier records of wholesale food prices back to 1846 were com-
piled by Sauerbeck, and have been continued by the Statist,
while statistics collected by Jevons covered the period 1785 to
1865. Other records of wholesale food prices have been prepared
by the Board of Trade and by the Hconomist. There is thus a
fairly complete record of the movement of agricultural prices up
to 1904, and a more detailed record thereafter. Index numbers
based on the prices collected by the Ministry have been worked
out for the years since 1906; the average prices in the three
years 1911-13 have been taken as a base and corresponding
prices in other years are expressed as percentages above or below
the prices ruling in the base vears.*
The fifty-five years which have elapsed since 1870 may be
divided into five periods—namely, 1870-1896, 1896-1914, 1914
1920, 1920-1923 and 1923-1925—each of which was characterised
by distinct price movements. In the first (1870-1896) prices
were falling, subject to an interruption between 1886 and 1891,
and farming suffered a prolonged depression; in the second
(1896-1914) prices were rising slowly, accompanied by a gradual
revival of agriculture; in the third (1914-1920) prices were
rising very fast and agriculture experienced a short period of
great prosperity; in the fourth (1920-1923) prices were falling
* In order to prevent misconception it may be well to explain here
that these index numbers are based on the average of the weekly prices
of the principal articles sold off the farm as ascertained by the Ministry’s
Market Reporters and published in the Agricultural Market Report. In
most cases the prices used in the calculations are those for second quality,
which is taken as a fair indication of the average of all qualities. The
prices used are market prices, without any deductions for carriage or
other costs of marketing, as it is not until the supplies are at the market
that they are on an equal footing, and it is only from this starting point
that the price movement can be compared with the pre-war position.
The actual prices, on which the annual index numbers for the years
1906-24 are based, are given in Table 36 of Part IIT of the Agricultural
Statistics, 1924, and for 1925 in the corresponding Report for that year.
In calculating the general index numbers for all commodities a suitable
allowance is made for their relative importance. For instance, more
weight 18 given to livestock and milk than to corn, because, on the
average, livestock and milk bulk more largely in the farmers’ receipts
than corn. The weights applied to each commodity are given in
Table 37 of Part TIL of the Agricultural Statistics, 1924. Individual
farmers or groups of farmers wi naturally be affected in different degrees
according to the crops or livestock which they produce. The general
index number is a measure only of the general change in price level, and
not of changes in gross receipts of farmers, as these are affected by the
changes in the output of different years as well as in prices.