BANK DEPOSITS, PRICES AND CURRENCY
January 20, 1020
I am going to ask you to consider with me to-day a
problem which has been much discussed in the Press
and in Parliament. Nothing gives so much concern
to the public at the present time as the great rise in
prices. Masses of people find almost insuperable
difficulty in bringing their expenditure within the
limits of their income and they clamour for a
remedy. So far as I have seen, the most popular
proposal for reducing prices is to fix a limit to the
currency note issue. It is supposed that if the
currency were strictly limited in amount and at the
same time had a proper proportion of gold backing,
prices would not only cease to rise but would begin
a downward movement towards their former level.
In this view the increase in currency is regarded as
the cause of high prices. But is this really the case?
May it not be that the great increase in currency
notes is itself only an effect of another cause, a mere
link in the chain which ends in high prices? What
is the relation between the increase of currency and
high prices? What has caused the increase of cur-
rency? What has caused high prices? This is the
problem I am going to ask you to consider to-day.
MONEY AND PRICES
In examining this question I should like to guard
myself at once from misunderstanding. It is an
accepted doctrine that there are three factors gov-
erning the price of commodities—demand, supply
and cost of production. Although to-day I propose