378
BANKING STANDARDS
—o0.040+0.767 (AG)= AN.......
+=0.12 =£0.02
cee)
The probable errors of the constants K, and E./, + o.12 and
+ 0.02, respectively, were computed rigorously, as in the case of
total expense, from the normal equations and the residuals, v, of
the 408 observation equations. The constant — 0.040 = 0.12 has
no significance in this case because it is 14 its own probable
error. The interpretation of (7), therefore, is, that the most
probable effect of a change of, say, 1 (0.1 of a point) in gross
earnings from one year to the next is to change net earnings
0.767 (0.0767 of a point) in the same direction.
From (7) and (6), therefore, one can obtain at once an ap-
proximate measure of the relative influence of a change in gross
earnings and of a change in total expense on a change in net earn-
ings; that is, their respective importance is as 0.767 is to 0.497,
or a change in gross earnings is (1 =— 1.54), 54% more in-
fluential on net earnings than total expense.
But this result (54%) is not the best obtainable because it
has been shown in Table II that if one assumes gross earnings
to influence net earnings equally in all groups, total expense does
not influence net earnings equally in all groups. The evidence
from Solution S;, which produced equation (7), is given in Table
III, from which the mean v column, especially, shows that if it
is assumed that total expense influences net earnings equally in
all groups, gross earnings influences it unequally, particularly
in Groups 3 and 4. The interpretation of the mean v in Group
3, + 1.2 4 0.3, is that (bearing in mind the above assumption)
TasLE III
RESIDUALS OF SOLUTION S,
1
Grour*
Total
I
~
a
Sou oF
+e
+exz
+182
™
~o
tree
tran
"
“n
+30 | —
4-0
NuMBER 0%
- .
MEeaN
v
rr
+o.
4
_-
+-
40 | —1.0 =0.3
”
Number
OF
Banks
To?
MEAN
nd
ProsB-
ABLE
Error
4"
8 *5.2
— —
1079 2 __*34
| 1322 21 | ®7.9
oT 7 Is *3.6
260
#See Table I of Appendix I.