COST OF LIVING INDEXES COMPARED 127
naires or agents are used in a cost of living survey is largely
a practical question. To the extent that standardization is
possible, questionnaires may well be used; where judgment
or discretion is involved the choice seems to lie between
trusting to the decision of a special agent or of the mer-
chant.
SUMMARY
The differences between changes in the retail price level
in the United States as shown by the index numbers of the
cost of living computed by the National Industrial Con-
ference Board and by the United States Bureau of Labor
Statistics, respectively, tend to disappear when both are re-
duced to the same basis. The most important reasons for
the existing differences are that the National Industrial
Conference Board series is based on a pre-war budget and
pre-war consumption and reflects, as well as may be possible
in a single average, conditions in the country as a whole,
whereas the Bureau of Labor Statistics series is based on a
war-time budget and war-time consumption and is more ex-
clusively an urban index, since a far larger proportion of the
total localities covered are the largest cities in the country.
Another important reason for the difference between the
two series is in the choice of the samples used to measure the
change in cost of the major items making up the total cost
of living. In all but the food group, which is identical in
both series, the samples are quite different. While the trend
of costs for clothing and for sundries is much the same, the
percentages of change themselves differ throughout the
series. The rent and fuel and light curves, while not so
uniform in their trend, are not radically different. These
circumstances lend a considerable degree of confidence to
both series, and strengthen the belief that each is substan-
tially correct. What samples are to be chosen or how prices
of them are to be collected and combined are largely mat-
ters of judgment and expediency. The outstanding fact is
that an index number of the retail price level can be con-
structed with a fair degree of accuracy and may be used with
a fair degree of confidence. Which series is adopted depends,
of course, on the purposes which are to be served.
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