Causes of the Panic
§1
the policy pursued, he was forced, of course, to
insist upon an excessive margin for every loan in
order to insure at least a sound margin of safety
in the event that a collapse did take place.” Thus
Mr. Cahill finds that “the real major cause of the
collapse was the rash and reckless purchasing of
fictitious values on credit.”
Doubtless bankers thought they knew that stocks
were being priced at fictitious levels, although the
evidence on which they thought so is subject to
review and critical analysis. All that they really
knew was that stocks had risen rapidly. Undoubt-
edly bankers were justified in taking alarm, not so
much over the rapidly advancing prices of securities,
as because of the vast number and amount of bor-
rowings of banks on collateral or of borrowing with
brokers as intermediaries, as reflected in the huge
totals of margin accounts. Because of this manifest
Overextension on the part of thousands of bor-
rowers, the banks were right in demanding high
collateral. It is tragically true, whether or not the
high level of stock prices was justified, that bankers
all over the country, despite their efforts, failed to
increase their marginal demands for collateral to a
point where the market could maintain a technically
sound position.
As early as August 12th, Senator Nye, of North
Dakota, had claimed that a “tremendous proportion
of the country’s money and credit is being sucked
up from the interior, and, as one high authority
expressed it, ‘phoned’ into Wall Street.”