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only get half as much, but there is nothing to prevent
him issuing twice as much in the second month, four
times as much in the third, eight times in the fourth,
and so on, and then he will be able to go on acquiring
the same amount of commodities per month in-
definitely. Experience seems to show that the unit
of a currency falls to zero in value long before the
supply of the currency reaches infinity, and believers
in the doctrine have been unable to explain why.
They have contented themselves with eluding the
point by means of propositions such as, “however
many units of currency may be issued, so long as
they really circulate, they will always have some
value, however small.” No doubt; but is it not
equally true that so long as they have some value
they will continue to circulate ? They will stop
sirculating when they lose all value. The explanation
seems to lie in the fact that human intelligence
anticipates what is coming. When it is seen that
the value of currency is steadily falling, people see
that it is more profitable to hold goods than currency,
the demand for currency fails to extend in proportion
to the enlargement of the supply, and its value
consequently falls more rapidly. The issuer very
likely redoubles his efforts to keep up with the fall
by issuing new currency at a still more rapidly
increasing rate, but all to no purpose—he is bound
to lose the race, and the reason is that the elasticity
of demand is less than unity.
In the converse case, that of reduction in the supply
of currency, there is also reason to expect an elasticity
less than unity. As general prices fall owing to the
reduction, people will endeavour to protect themselves
by displaying greater readiness to part with goods
and services, and less to part with currency, and
anticipation will thus cause the fall of general prices
to outrun the diminution of currency. - Pushed to