PART IV
THE COMMONWEALTH, 1900-14
CHAPTER IX
THE COURSE OF BUSINESS FROM 1900 to 1914
‘It will be seen that the projects involving borrowing are on a magnificent scale
notwithstanding that, on the one hand, population is increasing very slowly for a
new country, and that, on the other hand, every leading material interest excepting
Western Australian gold-mining is now slowly retrogressing. It is time that a halt
wag called to save Australia from being plunged into irremediable difficulties.’—
Insurance and Banking Record, 9 Apr. 1902.
‘The excess of exports is unprecedented in the history of Australia. It is impossible
to trace with exactitude how the balance has been disposed of. . . . All that can
be affirmed with certainty is that the large exports and the restricted imports of
1904 have contributed to place the people of Australia in a much easier position
than at any time since the days of excessive borrowing.'— Insurance and Banking
Record, 20 June 1905.
‘Prosperity of good seasons induced an orgy of extravagance, first among the
pastoral and agricultural community who plunged into real estate activities in
Sydney and laid the foundation of many wild-cat and genuine company-promotion
schemes. All this created a trade boom; new and untried ventures sprang up,
plodding concerns blossomed into companies which were often grossly over-
capitalized, others without solid foundation were snapped up by investors without
question. Amusement companies sprang up like mushrooms with directors who
were now and untrained and often mere guinea-pigs. Land values and rents shot
up to absurd figures. Estates were subdivided every day of the week and a general
land-boom set in.’—Sydney Morning Herald, Editorial, 15 Apr. 1913.
For the special purposes of this study no other period of Austra-
lian history is quite so satisfactory as the years between the
inauguration of the Commonwealth in 1901 and the Great War,
and that is not because of any peculiar verification of the thesis
here developed but because of the vastly more satisfactory
conditions for inductive study which are presented during those
years. In the first place, the federation of the states effected a
political unity that was reflected in a more closely knit economic
organization which greatly simplifies the task of analysis. Not
the least important result of federation for our purpose was the
initiation of a satisfactory system of national statistics. Parallel
with this amalgamation in the political system a similar
development was taking place within the banking and currency
system which also had a definite advantage for economic study.
Under the influence of the tariff, the national reorganization