106 THE COMMONWEALTH, 1900-14
depressed prices. How severe the reaction was in the metal
markets can best be judged from the figures quoted below.}
The chequered course of 1901 continued into the following
year ; but, after a depressing period marked by rising prices for
domestic commodities, falling prices for exports, distress in
rural and mining areas, and government deficits in every state,
the promise of brighter conditions came with the breaking of
the drought. Business interests were by this time, however,
beginning to feel the strain imposed by the considerable decline
in exports ; and it is significant that during 1903 gold shipments
were on a scale larger than usual. A marked decline in imports
was only to be expected ; and, as trading interests in the cities
became involved to a greater and greater extent, the most
intense depression experienced in the eastern states for a decade
now developed.
A secondary but far from unimportant factor originated in the
aftermath of the South African War; and was sufficiently
serious in Great Britain to diminish considerably the volume
of capital available for investment. This shortage of loan funds
reacted most unfavourably upon Australia, in a way that will
be traced presently. The position of the Australian money
market for the greater part of the year was one of comparative
ease; but the stationary bank figures merely reflected a want
of enterprise and a dullness of trade characteristic of the
‘deficiency phase’ of the borrowing cycle. That this state of
affairs was largely the direct result of the expansive loan
programmes embarked upon previously by all the States
cannot reasonably be questioned. As early as 1902, in fact,
criticism was being directed to the precarious condition of
Australian government finance by business leaders and econo-
mists. In less than three years the public debt had increased
by nearly £20 millions of new loans; and the onset of drought,
accompanied by the disastrous fall in the value of exports,
PRICES FOR PRINCIPAL AUSTRALIAN METALS
1901.
Per ton.
Metal.
Copper ,
Tin . .
Lead .
Speltar
£ a d.
73 0 ¢
121 156 ¢
16 6 ¢
IR 17
+ sd
49 0 0
106 8 0
10 3 0
a IE