176 BOOM OF 1919 AND SUBSEQUENT DEPRESSION
abroad. Steeply rising prices had been a feature of the whole of
1919 and most of the following year! After the break there
followed an equally rapid decline of 42 per cent. in less than
eighteen months. This sudden collapse of prices was a feature of
the recession in all countries. The severe check due to the onset of
the ‘writing down’ period in Britain brought about an inevitable
double reaction in Australia, first through the fall in the prices
for Australian products, and, secondly, because of the shortage
of overseas loan supplies. Bearing in mind the relation between
interest and new loans sketched in the last chapter, we must now
mark the coincidence of several factors which tended to in-
tensify the subsequent credit shortage. ‘During this process
of deflation difficulties of another kind arose. For each of the
years 1917-20 there had been an excess of exports over imports,
and for the year ending 30th June, 1921, this excess reached
the record figure of over £50,000,000. But for the following
year there was a decrease of exports of over £1 6,000,000,
and a very heavy increase of imports of £65,000,000. This
brought about an excess of imports of over £30,000,000, and
caused great difficulties in financing imports at a time when
the banks were deliberately restricting their advances for home
trade.’
The immediate debit balance, as an index of the very serious
situation which developed, was estimated by the Commonwealth
Statistician to amount to £27,000,000 in respect of excess of
imports and £22,000,000 by way of interest liability, ‘con-
sequently the value of the exports for the year was about
£50,000,000 short of the amount required to pay for the imports
and to meet the standing obligations on account of interest, &c.’ 2
The strain imposed upon the exchange facilities as the outcome
of such a situation can easily be imagined.
Contraction of credit we have now learnt to regard as the
normal reaction at the end of the borrowing cycle following the
expansion which characterizes its earlier phases. The crisis of 1921
was no exception: restricted credit and the recall of advances
omee more marked the cessation of capital supplies. The inflation
! “The rise in this period was nearly 40 per cent., and indicates a period of
feverish trade activity.’ —Copland, ibid., p. 564.
¢ Commonwealth Year Book, No. 14, p. 497. ‘Exchange on London was very
difficult and demand drafts rose to £1 17s. 6d. per cent. No doubt business was done
at a much higher figure. but this was much the highest official quotation since 1900.’