GREAT BRITAIN, II
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259
Britain. It will be seen that the trends of the two lower curves
are markedly downward for the period as a whole. Whichever
of the methods of measurement is applied — gross terms or net
terms — it appears that Canada gave progressively less of physical
exports in exchange for a given quantity of physical imports. As
regards the gross barter terms, this progressive gain was the natural
concomitant of the heavy borrowings. It was to be expected that
Canada, getting a growing excess of imports over exports in terms
of money, should also get more imported commodities in proportion
to her commodities exported. But for the verification of theory it is
particularly significant that the net barter terms also become more
favorable. The Canadians not only got more of physical goods
in proportion to the goods they sent out, but they got, on better
terms, those imported goods which may be regarded as coming
in payment for their own exported goods, and which had no
relation to the borrowings. And these advantages are further
reflected in the upper line of the chart, which shows the course of
money wages in Canada. The movement of Canadian prices and
wages has been fully described in the preceding chapters; the
course of money wages is here charted merely in order to show
the contrast, or rather the natural inverse correlation, between the
course of money wages and that of the terms of trade. Just as
the Canadian case is a simpler one than the British (being as it is
an almost pure experiment in international borrowing), so the
verification of general reasoning is more marked and more une-
quivocal.l
The question now suggests itself whether the monetary phenom-
ena in Great Britain during this period show the same sort of
accordance with theoretic reasoning as has been found for the
terms of trade. Did gold imports and exports, bank loans and
bank deposits, the total circulating medium and prices, move in
the manner we should expect? To this question I am unable to
give an answer. As regards Canada, Professor Viner’s researches
! The figures on which the chart is based are given in full in Appendix II, p. 414,
where due acknowledgment is also made to Mr. A. G. Silverman, by whom they
were compiled.