MIGRATION AND BUSINESS CYCLES survey of the pertinent information concerning industrial conditions and particularly concerning employment. The hurried reader who is interested primarily in conclusions and little in method may find it advantageous to skip this chapter on employment indices (Chapter ITI) and proceed directly to the comparisons between industrial conditions and migratory movements. With these preliminary pictures of the nature of the immigrant stream and of employment conditions before us, we proceed, in Chapters IV to VI, inclusive, first to a survey in broad outline of the cyclical movement in migration, then to a more detailed analysis of the movements of migration, particularly in the decades since 1890, there being for this period, especially during the years immediately preceding the Great War, a relative abundance of detailed monthly data concerning migration. In Chapter VII attention is turned to differences in the cyclical movements of selected elements in migration, in order to ascertain the relative extent to which employment conditions affect the movement of immigrants as compared with nonimmigrants, of males as compared with females, or of workers as compared with those immigrants having no occupation. The question naturally arises as to whether the economic conditions which influence migration to the United States are primarily those of the country of immigration or whether the alternations of prosperity and depression in the country of emigration may not exercise an equally strong influence on the time and volume of migration. Hence Chapter VIII is devoted to a consideration of peculiarities in the fluctuations of immigration from leading countries and to changes in economic conditions in those countries, as bearing on the relative power of the “push” or the “pull” in determining changes in the volume of migration. While the cyclical aspects of migration are of most significance for the purposes of this study, it is also pertinent to inquire concerning the degree to which the seasonal distribution of migration harmonizes with the seasonal distribution of employment in those industries in which large numbers of immigrants are employed. Chapter IX is devoted to such a survey. In the concluding chapter, we bring together the significant relations and conclusions developed in the earlier chapters. 28