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        <title>International trade</title>
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            <forname>Frank William</forname>
            <surname>Taussig</surname>
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            <idno>1758394757</idno>
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      <div>390 
INTERNATIONAL TRADE 
during that brief period at great profit; a profit so great that they 
could be sold abroad at low prices and yet leave a handsome margin 
to be shared between the German exporters and the various trade 
speculators. But the volume of this trade was small, because 
Germany was bare of physical goods. For that very reason, the 
bounty, so long as the peculiar situation endured, was high on the 
few goods that were available. 
The much-discussed German episode was exceptional in another 
respect. The paper issues early assumed such extraordinary 
dimensions that those phenomena emerged which are characteristic 
of a currency much distrusted and no longer circulating freely. 
What has been said in the preceding paragraphs tacitly assumes 
that the output of paper money proceeds in a quasi-orderly 
fashion, in such way that the currency continues to circulate in 
normal ways. So long as this is the case, it affects prices in the 
same way as any increase of the circulating medium, be it specie, 
convertible notes, mere deposit currency. But very great issues 
of paper, succeeding each other very rapidly, work in a different 
way. As is familiar in monetary theory, their effect will be 
catastrophic; in a sense, quite abnormal. The usual ways of 
handling money and of handling goods become quite upset ; every- 
one who has the money wishes to get rid of it, to spend it, as 
quickly as possible; everyone who has goods is chary of parting 
with them for money. Then ensue the familiar phenomena of 
complete monetary collapse and complete demoralization of trade 
and industry. All is chaos; perhaps not quite without rhyme or 
reason, but very much less reducible to rule than what happens in 
ordinary experience and is premised in ordinary reasoning. The 
conclusions just indicated concerning the effects on international 
trade of continuing issues which are fairly moderate, are little 
applicable to this extreme situation. Foreign exchange, like every- 
thing else, fluctuates in price spasmodically, with little discernible 
relation to other prices. I doubt whether any trend toward its 
being higher or lower than the prices of exported goods or of 
imported goods is likely to appear. What happens is mainly the 
complete dislocation of all trade, and the deadening of all industry,</div>
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