32 THE SHADOW OF THE WORLD'S FUTURE season for them, must not be less than a certain minimum. Finally, the crop produced must at least pay for the labour of cultivation. In connection with this last condition, however, popular ideas as to what constitutes a “ reasonable standard-of-living ” affect the issue. This covers not merely food, according to some “dietary standard,” but clothing, housing, education and the whole paraphernalia of social life. These are the governing conditions previously referred to. In this connection it may be mentioned that although the American “ dietary standard ” is a cheap balanced ratio consisting largely of vegetable products, the energy-value of which is 3500 calories per diem, it cannot be regarded as in any way representing a world- average. The standards of the Chinese, Japanese and Hindu masses are, of course, much lower than this. Even that of Europe is only about 3000 calories per diem. In regard to living-standards, too, it may further be said that if, as appears to be already beginning, the multitudes of the East should westernise their con- ceptions as to what constitutes a reasonable standard, the population-problem is at once raised to a plane of greater difficulty. On the other hand, if western races ever abandon both their present love of what may seem to some inordinate luxury, and all useless com- plication of the paraphernalia of social life, it is certain that the population difficulty, for a time at least, will diminish. It is also temporarily diminished by every betterment in the organisation of human effort in production and distribution, and by success in insuring against the vicissitudes of Nature, which often, in quite a little while, wreck the effect of long periods of effort. Some of the countries considered are subject to repeated periods of calamity. Turning now to the light which American research