CHAPTER X NEW MALTHUSIANISM AND MAN’S FUTURE From what has preceded it is obvious that the rate of population-increase witnessed on earth during the last century and a quarter cannot continue under any circumstances whatsoever: it must diminish. What will bring this about? Will human intelligence co- operate, or will Man be the victim of disaster, and what kind of disaster? These are questions which remind us that, in any consideration of the World’s Future, we must give attention to #/ relevant matters. Although Malthus’s work on Population appeared as far back as 1798, his propositions on population have continually, and even quite recently, been wholly mis- understood and utterly misrepresented. The essence of the whole matter was that, from its intrinsic nature, the power of increase led to multiplication in a geo- metrical ratio, except in so far as it was hindered by things inimical to Man. The food-supply could not keep pace with this geometrical increase. Food tends, it was said, to increase only in arithmetical progression. The latter is not quite correct; actually it may increase at a greater rate, or increase not even at that rate. From what has preceded it is not necessary to labour this matter, for it is already evident that very soon— speaking in even the historical sense—Man will be in difficulties. Many ingenious views have been put forward as to the nature of the progress of populations: some refer- ence has already been made to these in Chapter V. The matter need not be further elaborated. It will 108