THE “ QUANTITY THEORY * 69 weekly wage, if his real earnings (reckoned in com- modities and services) are unaltered, so that his wage will buy the same collection of things as before, his wage and his holding of currency must be doubled when prices are doubled. From this it appears quite plainly that the average holding of currency at any time must normally equal in value a particular collection of goods and services. It is only simple arithmetic to infer that the aggregate holding of currency, alias the ‘quantity of money,” must normally equal in value a certain definite aggregate of commodities and services. This is now so well recognized that it has been made the basis of prognostications of the future which have been realized in practice. When we have found that some rapidly depreciating currency, though nominally immense, has worked out at a ridiculously small sum in pounds or dollars, we have said, “Of course this is an impossible situation ; either the value of the currency will go up again or more of it will be issued,” and we have turned out right. But while it is reasonable to assume that we should expect the elasticity of the demand for currency to be equal to unity, we should beware of accepting the doctrine too readily. Great doubt is thrown on it when we reflect that if it were universally true, issuers of legal tender could go on buying goods and services with new issues indefinitely. The process of doubling the currency in, say, the first month, would indeed gradually bring the purchasing power of the unit down to one-half, but as the issuer at the beginning would be buying very near old prices, and only at the end at the new prices, he would have acquired goods and services worth over three-quarters of the value of the total of the old currency. By another issue equal to the old currency he would