38 THE WORK OF THE STOCK EXCHANGE truth (but not the whole truth) that the higher organization of markets has sometimes made it easier for reckless and unin- formed people to injure themselves through speculation, just as it is easier today to be killed by being run over by a steam locomotive or an automobile than it formerly was by a stage- coach. Yet, just as this latter fact does not constitute a valid reason for urging that steam railways or automobiles be “abolished,” or that stagecoaches be again legislated into use, so too there can be little real justification for condemning the stock exchanges because those who use their facilities carelessly or recklessly now and then come to grief. The truth is that people must somehow be taught not to speculate foolishly, just as we are all learning to avoid getting in front of locomotives or automobiles. Future Marketing Probabilities.—The organization of exchanges has been accomplished in comparatively recent times. Yet so important a factor in the economic and social progress of world civilization have they already proved, that not only their permanence in the present economic machinery of the world, but also their continued evolution in the future along significant lines is assured. Great as are their functions and beneficial services to mankind today, nevertheless it is obvious to the economic historian that their present development is only a stage in their larger and continuous evolution. Without indulging in fanciful predictions, it is nevertheless interesting to conjecture along what lines this future evolution of the organized markets is likely to occur. In the first place, it seems inevitable that the production and consumption of many commodities will considerably increase luring the coming century, and that they will consequently come to be considered as staples. It will become more and more dangerous and expensive to buy and sell such commodi- ties in their present loose-jointed, unorganized, and precarious markets, and accordingly exchanges may gradually be estab- lished for their more economical sale and distribution. Many