Migration and business cycles

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Monograph

Identifikator:: 1736236210

URN:: urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-111544

Document type:: Monograph

Author:: Jerome, Harry

Title:: Migration and business cycles

Place of publication:: New York

Publisher:: National Bureau of Economic Research

Year of publication:: 1926

Scope:: 256 S.

Digitisation:: 2020

Collection:: Economics Books

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Document type:: Monograph

Structure type:: Chapter

Title:: Chapter V. The pre-war quarter century : 1890-1914

Collection:: Economics Books

THE PRE-WAR QUARTER CENTURY 1 cember, 1910. In both cases, we are dealing with the raw data uncorrected for trend or seasonal variation. It is obvious from this chart that during this period, in which the number of un- employed is estimated to have been, on the average, several hundred . E “i . . thousand greater than in December, 1910, the number, of arriving male aliens exceeded those leaving by nearly 400,000. The Pre-War Decline of 1913 and 1914. Prior to the outbreak of the Great War, employment had been on the decline continuously, aside from brief recovery movements, since the early part of 1913. On the other hand, during several months in 1913 immigration was unusually large; but it also began to decline sharply toward the end of 1913. A statement of the cumulative number of arrivals, and also of arrivals less departures, is given in Table 28, beginning in March, 1913, when the employ- TABLE 28—THE PRrE-WAR DECLINE oF 1913-1914 Cumulative number of arrivals and departures since February, 1913s (Thousands) ALIEN ARRIVALS ALIEN ARRIVALS LESS DEPARTURES YEAR a 2 © Mars MALE CL ALE ' OTAL NON-IMMI- Sona PAI NON-IMMI- LOTAL BOTH [NA GRANTS GRANTS LESS Yorar x 5 GRANTS SEXES EMIGRANTS ar SEXES LA" TEC sac 8 © BE EE FG H 1913 - Mar. | 69.2 18.6 87.7 121.2 56.9 A 64.0 90.4 Apr. 168.9 49.2 218.1 296.4 142 4 17: 159.8 220.0 May 266.3 | 70.0 336.2 461.1 | 225.9 5.8 231.7 322.4 June 391.1 | 86.5 477.6 659.6 334.6 —1.3 333.3 462.6 July 485.8 | 98.2 584.0 814.2 410.3 —13.4 396.9 554.5 Aug. | 570.4 | 109.0 679.4 956. | 477.6 —20.9 i 648.1 Sept. 657.4 120.4 777.8071113.5 549.7 -—23.2 526.5 766.9 Oct. 740.3 130.7 871.0 1266.6 611.1 -—33.1 578.0 865.3 Nov. 805.8 138.5 944.3 1383.6 | 653.3 45.06 607.7 928.4 Dec. 864.9 146.0 1010.9 1490.3 685.4 -—39.5 625.9 978.5 1914 Jan. 893.4 151.9 1045.3 1543.5 683.4 -—82.2 601.3 + 962.5 Feb. 924.2 158.5 1082.7 1599.6 700.0 -89.2 610.7 983.8 Mar. 9901.3 170.4 1161.7 1708.5 756.3 -—88.5 667.9 1064.0 Apr. 1079.2 187.2 1266.3 1850.7 826.4 -—901.5 734.9 1156.0 May 1149.0 200.9 1349.9 1977.6 878.8 —101.9 776.9 1225.0 June 1189.9 209.9 1399.8 2062.6 891.1 —119.0 772.2 1231.9 July 1222.8 217 4 1440.3 2134.7 902.9 —128.2 774.6 1249.0 2Compiled from U. S. Bureau of Immigration and Naturalization, Immigration Bulletin (monthly). ment curve first shows a substantial decline, and continuing until the outbreak of the war. The first column gives the cumulative number of male “immigrants”; the second column, male ‘“non- 19

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