Migration and business cycles

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Monograph

Identifikator:: 1736236210

URN:: urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-111544

Document type:: Monograph

Author:: Jerome, Harry

Title:: Migration and business cycles

Place of publication:: New York

Publisher:: National Bureau of Economic Research

Year of publication:: 1926

Scope:: 256 S.

Digitisation:: 2020

Collection:: Economics Books

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Document type:: Monograph

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Title:: Chapter VII. Cyclical fluctuations of selected elements in migration

Collection:: Economics Books

CHAPTER VII CYCLICAL FLUCTUATIONS OF SELECTED ELEMENTS IN MIGRATION The evidence presented in the preceding chapters indicates a pronounced tendency for cyclical fluctuations in immigration to, and emigration from, the United States to be determined primarily by cyclical fluctuations in industrial activity in this country. The nature of this relationship may be made clearer by comparing the cyclical movements of selected elements in migration. For this purpose we shall make comparisons between im- migrants and nonimmigrants, males and females, and laborers and other occupational groups. PERMANENT AND TEMPORARY MIGRATION Immigrants and Nonimmigrants. The official statistics, as we have previously noted, distinguish between alien immigrants and alien nonimmigrants, the latter com- prising aliens entering the United States for a temporary stay or returning here after a temporary sojourn abroad. Most of the popular and scientific discussion of immigration problems deals solely with the relatively permanent ‘immigrant’ group. To the extent that the nonimmigrant group is made up of touristsand other persons not seeking employment we should expect it to show less responsiveness to cyclical changes than the “immigrant” group proper; but, on the other hand, if we could segregate those non- immigrants who, despite a declared intention of temporary sojourn, enter for purposes of employment, we should expect the fluctuations of this working element to show, particularly as to the exodus during depression periods, even greater sensitiveness to cyclical conditions than the more permanent migration. Prior to the present century, the recorded number of arriving aliens other than those listed as immigrants was relatively small. In the nineteenth century, the number of recorded alien nonim- migrants never exceeded fifty thousand and exceeded ten per cent A 2%

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