Migration and business cycles

Bibliographic data

Monograph

Identifikator:: 1736236210

URN:: urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-111544

Document type:: Monograph

Author:: Jerome, Harry

Title:: Migration and business cycles

Place of publication:: New York

Publisher:: National Bureau of Economic Research

Year of publication:: 1926

Scope:: 256 S.

Digitisation:: 2020

Collection:: Economics Books

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Chapter

Document type:: Monograph

Structure type:: Chapter

Title:: Chapter VIII. The influence of economic conditions in the countries of emigration

Collection:: Economics Books

INFLUENCE OF ECONOMIC CONDITIONS 155 evidences substantially the same fluctuations, a presumption is raised in favor of the theory that economic conditions in the United States are a predominating factor, particularly if business con- ditions in the several foreign countries are not closely parallel and these common migratory fluctuations accord well with industrial cycles in the United States. On the other hand, if the more common phenomenon is a marked diversity in the cyclical fluctuations of the various national or racial elements in immigration, then a presumption is created in favor of the interpretation that conditions in the country of emi- gration are the dominant factor or that industrial prosperity and depression in the United States is itself a phenomenon so diversified in its influence upon employment that its effect is much greater upon immigration from certain countries than upon the general immigration movement. Method of Analysis. The facts concerning the relative fluctuations of immigration from the several countries are presented in two ways. In the first place, they are shown by means of a table (Number 44) giving the number of immigrants from each of several countries and by charts (32 and 33) to facilitate the determination of whether changes in the number of immigrants in any given year are common to the several countries. Secondly, as a means of presenting the same facts in a way which stresses the divergence of the immigration from any one country from its usual proportion to the total immigration, a table and charts are given showing the fraction of the total im- migration which is represented by the number of immigrants from each of the selected list of countries. (See Table 45 and Charts 34 and 35). Immigration from Selected Countries. An examination of the fluctuations in the number of immigrants from leading countries of emigration in the three decades prior to the Great War (Charts 32 and 33) furnishes reasonably conclusive evidence concerning the degree of similarity in such fluctuations. The countries included in this graphic comparison are England, Ireland, Germany, Sweden, Russia, Italy, and Austria-Hungary from 1880-to 1914; and Greece from 1891 to 1914. In nine of the thirty-four years covered by Charts 32 and 33, the selected immigration movements either all show an increase or all

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