Migration and business cycles

Bibliographic data

Monograph

Identifikator:: 1736236210

URN:: urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-111544

Document type:: Monograph

Author:: Jerome, Harry

Title:: Migration and business cycles

Place of publication:: New York

Publisher:: National Bureau of Economic Research

Year of publication:: 1926

Scope:: 256 S.

Digitisation:: 2020

Collection:: Economics Books

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Chapter

Document type:: Monograph

Structure type:: Chapter

Title:: Chapter VIII. The influence of economic conditions in the countries of emigration

Collection:: Economics Books

INFLUENCE OF ECONOMIC CONDITIONS 187 movement does not reflect the slump in immigration in the latter part of 1911 and the early part of 1912. Let us see whether some of these peculiarities may not be ex- plained by reference to the curve for employment in factoriesin the United States, given in the lower section of Chart 42, together with the curve for immigration from the United Kingdom to the United States. Upon examination of the facts concerning employment con- ditions in the United States, we find that, as a rule, those years when rising emigration is concurrent with declining employment in the United Kingdom are also years when the employment conditions in the United Kingdom and in the United States are not similar. Thus, from 1887 to 1889,» industrial activity in the United States slackened while British employment rose; in 1890 to 1892, inclusive, factory employment conditions in the United Statesimproved while British employment declined; in 1896, employment in the United States declined but in Great Britain rose; in 1902, the United States movement is upward but in Great Britain it is downward; in 1908 and 1909 the upward turn comes more quickly in the United States, and the depression of 1911 is more clearly defined in the United States movement. In each of the periods just mentioned emigration from the United Kingdom tended to increase when employment conditions were improving in the United States and becoming less favorable in the United Kingdom; and similarly, emigration declined when employ- ment conditions became less favorable in the United States and more favorable in Great Britain. On the other hand, in those periods when employment is improving in both countries, emigration is, as a rule, also increasing; when employment in both countries is declining, emigration also dim- inishes. For example, see 1906 to 1909. Neither employment conditions in the United States nor in Great Britain afford an obvious explanation for the sharp boom in emigration in 1904. To summarize, the flow of emigration from the United Kingdom to the United States agrees to a large extent with the course of employment in the latter country, whether the concurrent move- ment in employment in Great Britain is similar or dissimilar to that in the United States. British Emigration to Countries other than the United States. During the period from 1870 to 1913 there was a substantial volume of emigration from the United Kingdom to countries other 10See Charts 32, 34, and 41. PY 35

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