Migration and business cycles

Bibliographic data

Monograph

Identifikator:: 1736236210

URN:: urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-111544

Document type:: Monograph

Author:: Jerome, Harry

Title:: Migration and business cycles

Place of publication:: New York

Publisher:: National Bureau of Economic Research

Year of publication:: 1926

Scope:: 256 S.

Digitisation:: 2020

Collection:: Economics Books

Usage license:: Get license information via the feedback formular.

Chapter

Document type:: Monograph

Structure type:: Chapter

Title:: Chapter IX. Seasonal fluctuations

Collection:: Economics Books

MIGRATION AND BUSINESS CYCLES the 1921 restrictive law; but the use of the indices so computed yields a cycle curve which appears to be a reasonable estimate of the post-war cycle in immigration (see Chart 24 in Chapter VI).: PRE-WAR SEASONAL TENDENCIES IN ARRIVALS In the following pages, we first examine the pre-war seasonal movements in arrivals, in departures, and in the net result of ar- rivals less departures. We then turn to an examination of the avail- able evidence concerning seasonal fluctuations of employment in those industries in which immigrants engage in large numbers, in order to lay the basis for determining to what extent seasonal fluctuations in migration synchronize well with seasonal variations in employment opportunities. In most cases seasonal changes are described in terms of typical seasonal fluctuations, by which is meant that part of the total ob- served fluctuations which are, on the average, ascribable to seasonal influences as distinguished from the longtime trend and cyclical influences; but in one or two instances (see Chart 55) attention 1s directed to the crude seasonal distributions, which are the average distributions of the data over the months of the year without any adjustment for the fact that the distribution may be in part due to a growth factor. Principal Similarities. The major features of the seasonal movements of the various groups of immigrants can be quickly noted by scanning Charts 48 and 49, and the tables upon which they are based. For most classes of incoming aliens, the volume is small in Jan- uary and February, with an incoming rush in March, April, and May, a falling off in midsummer, and a moderate recovery in Sep- tember and October, followed by a decline in November and December. Male and Female Immigration. Inasmuch as the movement of male immigration has been the primary series used in our analysis of the cyclical aspects of industry, it is pertinent to inquire as to what differences exist between the seasonal fluctuations of the male immigrant group and those of other immigrant groups. The Immigration Act of 1924 again modified the seasonal movement in irnmigration by its provision that not more than fen per cent of any annual quota may be admitted in any month except in cases where such quota is less than 300 for the entire year. 2919

Access restriction

Copyright

fullscreen: Migration and business cycles

Monograph

Chapter

Table of contents

Download

Monograph

Chapter

This page

Image fragment

Citation links

Citation recommendation