Migration and business cycles

Bibliographic data

Monograph

Identifikator:: 1736236210

URN:: urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-111544

Document type:: Monograph

Author:: Jerome, Harry

Title:: Migration and business cycles

Place of publication:: New York

Publisher:: National Bureau of Economic Research

Year of publication:: 1926

Scope:: 256 S.

Digitisation:: 2020

Collection:: Economics Books

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APPENDIX J TABLE V—CYCLES OF FACTORY EMPLOYMENT IN SELECTED STATES, BY MONTHS: 1889-1914 Percentage deviations from trend, corrected for typical seasonal variation and expressed in multiples of the standard deviation, which=4.55 per cent YEAR| Jan. | FEB. = MAR. APR. | May JUNE | Jury AUG. | SEPT. | ocr. | Nov. Dsc. 1889 | 0 | o "0.11 '—0.29 —0.24 '—0.07 |—0.18 +0.26 | +0.04 |+0.04 '+0.02 0 1890 —0.07|+0.13 40.18 40.07 +0.11 ‘40.24 40.33 40.53 +0.51 40.55 +0.53/40.55 1891 +0.51|40.40 +40.35 BS +0.46 +0.40 40.62 40.57 40.51 40.40 40.44 13 1892 +0.70{+4+0.86 +0.97 1.30 41.25 +1.12 41.25 +1.30 +1.38 [41.43 +1.52/+1.41 1893 +1.43|+1.38 +1.60 +1.69 +1.67 +1.12 40.33 —1.80 —3.38 Sr —1 T8147 1894 —1.98/—1.78 —1.85 —1.58 -—1.38 —1.63 —1.93 '—2.35 —2.48 '—1.21 —0.77 .86 1895 —0.22|—0.37 —0.62 +0.09 +0.18 +40.15 | +0.22 +0.53 40.51 | 40.48 +0.66/40.59 1896 +40.26(40.26 +0.15 40.02 —0.13 —0.66 —1.25 +—1.85 —1.60 [31-18 —0.97|—0.62 1897 —0.79|—0.70 —0.62 —0.44 —0.51 —0.84 —1.21 —1.43 —0.44 |—0.40 —0.51/—0.55 1898 —0.88}—0.99 —0.75 —0.84 —1.19 —1.10 —1.19 —1.12 —1.12 —0.97 —0.92/—0.84 1899 —0.53]—0.42 —0.11 40.04 +0.15 40.26 |4+0.20 1+0.44 +0.62 |+0.42 +0.57/40.57 1900 +0.75(+0.66 +0.66 +0.33 +0.24 —0.07 —0.51 —0.33 —0.33 '—0.35 —0.33/—0.22 1901 —0.24/—0.29 —0.15 —0.59 —0.40 —0.46 —0.40 —0.15 —0.07 '40.11 -}0.24{40.22 1902 +40.70(40.57 40.64 +40.51 40.51 40.35 140.55 40.66 40.81 41.05 +1.12/40.99 1903 +40.90(+0.84 40.90 +0.37 -+0.24 40.51 40.40 +0.31 40.31 40.31 +40.13/40.04 1904 —0.42{—0.40 —0.09 —0.04 —0.15 —0.44 —0.77 —0.88 —0.35 |4+0.09 —0.07—0.13 1905 —0.15|—0.11 —0.07 +0.35 40.55 40.46 0.51 40.33 0 +0.26 +0.51/40.99 1906 +0.81|40.46 +0.57 40.59 +0.84 +1.16 +1.23 40.95 40.70 our +1.12141.12 1907 +1.38|+1.10 +1.27 41.10 —+1.16 41.38 ,+1.43 | 71.05 +0.44 —1.23 —1.45—2.42 1908 —3.30(—3.87 —3.96 —4.35 —4.07 —3.60 —2.11 '—1.58 —2.26 [—1.54 —1.16—0.64 1909 —0.44/—0.33 —0.04 —0.09 (40.02 '+0.04 '—0.04 '—0.02 +0.53 +092 +1.05/4+1.36 1910 [11.45 +1.23 40.92 +0.79 '+0.92 40.84 40.90 40.70 40.48 40.46 +0.66/4+0.70 1911 '40.48|+40.51 40.53 +40.46 [40.20 +0.40 :+0.53 +0.31 40.22 40.37 40.24 40.11 1912 .40.20/40.35 40.35 40.31 "40.29 +40.11 +40.09 40.51 40.53 +0.59 40.48 40.51 1913 ,4+0.70{+0.64 +40.20 0 —0.07 —0.02 —0.04 —0.13 —0.09 —0.11 —0.15—0.22 1014 |—0.24/—0.20 , 0 '—0.18 (—0.26 ‘—0.44 '—0.81 '—1.25 '—1.14 |—1.03 |—1.43—1.38 sBased upon index in Table IV, reduced to deviations from a curvilinear trend based upon preliminary mathematical approximations smoothed with the aid of a French curve. Seasonal variation adjusted for by method described in “The Measurement of Seasonal Variation," by Helen D. Falkner, in the Journal of the American Statistical Association, June, 1924, pp. 167-179. Two sets of seasonal indices were computed, one for 1889 to 1903. the other for 1904 to 1914. 240

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