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Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

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fullscreen: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

Monograph

Identifikator:
1824422792
URN:
urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-217476
Document type:
Monograph
Title:
Study week on the econometric approach to development planning
Place of publication:
Amsterdam [u.a.]
Publisher:
North-Holland Publ. Co. [u.a.]
Year of publication:
1965
Scope:
XLVII, 1259 S.
graph. Darst.
Digitisation:
2022
Collection:
Economics Books
Usage license:
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Chapter

Document type:
Monograph
Structure type:
Chapter
Title:
The role of capital in economic development / Maurice Allais, Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Mines Paris - France
Collection:
Economics Books

Contents

Table of contents

  • Study week on the econometric approach to development planning
  • Title page
  • Le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • La semaine d'etude sur le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • L'audience et le discours du saint-pere
  • Les «semaines d'etude» et leur reglement
  • The analysis of economic systems / Richard Stone, Cambridge University - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • Toward a verdict on macroeconomic simultaneous equations / Herman O.A. Wold, Universitets Statistika Institution - Uppsala - Sverige
  • Econometric analysis for assessing the efficacy of public investment / R. Dorman, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • On the concept of optimal economic growth / Tjalling C. Koopmans, Cowles Foundation for research in Econimics at Yale University New Haven, Conn. - U.S.A.
  • Croissance optimales dans un modele macroeconomique / E. Malinvaud, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques Paris - France
  • Dynamic structure and estimation in economy-wide econometric models / FranklinM. Fisher, Massachuetts Institute of Technology - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • Decision rules and simulation techniques in development programming / Henri Theil, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool - Econometrisch Institut Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Some observations on countercyclical fiscal policy and its effects on economic growth / Trygve Haavelmo, Universitetet i Oslo - Oslo - Norge
  • Balanced growth and technical progress in a log-linear multisectoral economy / Michio Morishima, Osaka University - Osaka - Japan
  • A new theoretical approach to the problems of economic growth / Luigi L. Pasinetti, King's College - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • The role of capital in economic development / Maurice Allais, Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Mines Paris - France
  • Spatial organization and regional planning: Some hypotheses for econometric analysis / Walter Isard, Department of regional Science - University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, Penn. - U.S.A.
  • The rates of long-run economic growth and capital transfer from developed to underdeveloped areas / Wassily Leontief, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • The social transformation for national development / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institue - Calcutta - India
  • Statistical tools and techniques in perspective planning in India / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institute - Calcutta - India
  • Econometric analysis and agricultural and development plans / D. Gale Johnson, University of Chicago - Chicago - U.S.A.
  • Selection and implementation the econometrics of the future / Ragnar Frisch, Universitetet i Oslo - Sosialøkonomisk Institutt - Oslo- Norge
  • The economic framework of regional planning / Jan Tinbergen, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Conclusions
  • Contents

Full text

SEMAINE D'ÉTUDE SUR LE ROLE DE L ANALYSE ECONOMETRIQUE ETC 
the exponential amortization which is a characteristic oi th 
exponential model (1). 
It is shown in the Appendix to the present study that under 
the very general hypothesis that the function [3(8)e*’ can be 
developed as a Taylor series, at least for a certain value of p, 
the coefficient A (which is equal to 1 in the exponential model) 
will not differ generally from unity by more than +o.5, for 
hypotheses which can reasonably be accepted. 
It follows from this that while the exponential model clearly 
may not offer a perfect portrayal of real conditions, it doubtless 
does not differ therefrom all that much, so that, at least in 
terms of a first approximation, it is capable of depicting the 
essential features of reality quite correctly. 
If this approximation is deemed insufficient, the develop 
ment of the function 3(6)e*’ as a Tavlor series of which the very 
first terms only are retained, provides as far as can be judged 
a reasonable representation of actual conditions (# 
The Value of the Model 
337. It follows from the preceding dimission that. 
a) the model is consistent with the information which ca.. 
obtained from available statistical data: 
b) it cannot be proved that the assumptions made are the only 
ones which would give results consistent with available data 
y From relation (z:zc 
x 
Thus if (0) declines more rapidly than 
© © we have 
since 
for (60)=e ©/v. 
(3) See Appendix 
.| Allais - pag. 179
	        

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