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Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

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fullscreen: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

Monograph

Identifikator:
1831005247
URN:
urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-221436
Document type:
Monograph
Title:
L' economia italiana dal 1919 al 1929
Place of publication:
Roma
Publisher:
Amministrazione Presso la Rivista Internazionale "Metron", Istituto di Statistica della R. Università
Year of publication:
1930
Scope:
XXII, 165 Seiten
Digitisation:
2022
Collection:
Economics Books
Usage license:
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Chapter

Document type:
Monograph
Structure type:
Chapter
Title:
Tavole statistiche degli indici del movimento economico italiano dal 1919 al 1929
Collection:
Economics Books

Contents

Table of contents

  • Study week on the econometric approach to development planning
  • Title page
  • Le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • La semaine d'etude sur le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • L'audience et le discours du saint-pere
  • Les «semaines d'etude» et leur reglement
  • The analysis of economic systems / Richard Stone, Cambridge University - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • Toward a verdict on macroeconomic simultaneous equations / Herman O.A. Wold, Universitets Statistika Institution - Uppsala - Sverige
  • Econometric analysis for assessing the efficacy of public investment / R. Dorman, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • On the concept of optimal economic growth / Tjalling C. Koopmans, Cowles Foundation for research in Econimics at Yale University New Haven, Conn. - U.S.A.
  • Croissance optimales dans un modele macroeconomique / E. Malinvaud, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques Paris - France
  • Dynamic structure and estimation in economy-wide econometric models / FranklinM. Fisher, Massachuetts Institute of Technology - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • Decision rules and simulation techniques in development programming / Henri Theil, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool - Econometrisch Institut Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Some observations on countercyclical fiscal policy and its effects on economic growth / Trygve Haavelmo, Universitetet i Oslo - Oslo - Norge
  • Balanced growth and technical progress in a log-linear multisectoral economy / Michio Morishima, Osaka University - Osaka - Japan
  • A new theoretical approach to the problems of economic growth / Luigi L. Pasinetti, King's College - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • The role of capital in economic development / Maurice Allais, Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Mines Paris - France
  • Spatial organization and regional planning: Some hypotheses for econometric analysis / Walter Isard, Department of regional Science - University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, Penn. - U.S.A.
  • The rates of long-run economic growth and capital transfer from developed to underdeveloped areas / Wassily Leontief, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • The social transformation for national development / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institue - Calcutta - India
  • Statistical tools and techniques in perspective planning in India / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institute - Calcutta - India
  • Econometric analysis and agricultural and development plans / D. Gale Johnson, University of Chicago - Chicago - U.S.A.
  • Selection and implementation the econometrics of the future / Ragnar Frisch, Universitetet i Oslo - Sosialøkonomisk Institutt - Oslo- Norge
  • The economic framework of regional planning / Jan Tinbergen, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Conclusions
  • Contents

Full text

216 PONTIFICIAE ACADEMIAE SCIENTIARVM SCRIPTA VARIA 
or for countries with even a smaller population of two millions or 
so, whether it would be advisable to set up a steel mill and this 
also in an extreme case when domestic resources of iron or coal are 
not available. I am giving this particular example to widen the 
scope of the discussion. 
[ am in agreement with the use of shadow price in principle. 
There is however great difficulty in practice in isolating one project 
from another. It seems to me that it is often necessary in making 
practical decisions in a country like India, to focus attention not 
only on the project but also to consider the external economies at 
a national level. The time factor also seems to me to be extremely 
important, that is, the span of time over which the benefits would 
accrue. An interesting case which I analysed several years ago was 
the choice in India between importing foodgrains, or importing fer- 
tilisers, or manufacturing fertilisers with imported machinery, or 
finally, building machinery in India for the manufacture of fertili- 
sers. The answer would depend essentially on the time horizon. 
The really important point which I should have stated earlier, 
's where do you want to go and when? We, have to set up certain 
targets at the national level which have to be achieved over a cer- 
tain time period, in I0 years or in I5 years or in 20 years. Without 
such targets and the time period over which these have to be 
realised, I doubt whether shadow prices would be useful. Firstly, 
a set of target at the national level and secondly a given time period 
over which these have to be achieved have to be supplied for opti- 
mization. 
DORFMAN 
I think Professor MAHALANOBIS is raising two distinguishable 
questions here. The question of the steel plant is not a particularly 
difficult one. A steel plant may have some external economies, in 
particular the educational consequences of helping to train a labor 
force which is skilled in working with ferrous metals. A steel plant 
3] 
Dorfman - pag. 30
	        

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