378
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
to have new aspects; but it does not make the final outcome
different.
“Pegging” of the dislocated exchanges by government action
or by the action of powerful private interests, is in one way the
opposite from speculation, in another way not unlike it. It is the
opposite in that its design is to stop fluctuations, and thus to
discourage speculation and what are supposed to be the effects of
speculation. It has a similarity to speculation in that it cannot
override for an indefinite time the main forces that determine the
rates of exchange.
For purposes of prestige, a government may wish to prevent the
quoted rate on its money unit from sagging or falling. A great
bank or group of bankers may wish to support the rate for purposes
of profit on loans or on remittance operations. The end can be
achieved by simply buying in the market at a given price all the
exchange offered. The effect of such purchases is essentially the
same as if a new demand arose in the ordinary course of trade.
The relation of offerings and takings is affected in the same way,
and the exchange rate modified or maintained in the same way.
The quoted figure is still the result of the impact of the two forces.
The peculiarity of the case is merely that one of the forces, that
of demand, is so adjusted as to equalize the impact of the supply
at a given point. Not a specific quantity is purchased, but such a
quantity as will keep the rate of exchange at a specific point.
Whatever supply of exchange is offered will be bought at the set
price.
The extent to which pegging will influence the exchange rate
depends, of course, on the extent to which it is carried, on the
amount of money which the pegger is prepared to spend in buying
bills at the set price, and on the length of time for which he is pre-
pared to keep up the process. With plenty of funds in hand, and a
courageous willingness to use them to the full, he can go far in
affecting the rates of exchange, and can maintain his rate for a long
time. And the conditions may be more favorable to him or less
so; more if the ordinary conditions of trade are interrupted or set