GREAT BRITAIN, II
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will be larger for the country having an excess of imports in
money value; that is, such a country will be getting a larger
physical quantity of imports in exchange for a given physical
quantity of exports than it would get if the money volume of the
two were equal. This better relation (in physical terms) is of
course quite different from the relations of the money value of the
imports and exports; least of all can it be said that the latter (the
difference in money quantities) serves as a measure or index of
the rates of physical exchange. But those terms — the whole of
a country’s physical imports as compared with the whole of its
exports — constitute the gross barter terms of trade.
We may proceed now to consider in what way we might measure
changes in the way these transactions take place; how ascertain
what modifications may arise in the terms on which a country
barters its imports for its exports — both the gross and the net
terms. The terms of course must always be advantageous to some
extent, otherwise the exchange would not take place at all; but
they may be more or less advantageous. There is a range of
greater or less, a possibility of more favorable terms or less favor-
able terms. The device to which attention is now to be called
enables us to measure the change, or the direction of change,
toward a more or a less favorable situation. Let it be premised
that they in no way indicate whether a country secures a large or
a small share of the total gains which the international barter
brings to all concerned — to other countries with which it trades
as well as to itself — and which are divided between them. They
only indicate in which direction the accretion of gain is changing ;
whether the gain, whatever it be in a given year, is less or greater
in that year than in previous years or in subsequent vears. Itis
changes, and changes only, both in the net barter terms of trade
and in the gross barter terms, which we are able to follow.
The method by which changes in the net barter terms of trade are
to be discerned was suggested by Professor Bowley as early as 1893.1
! England's Foreign Trade in the 19th Century, 1st edition (1293) p. 20. See
also Changes of Prices of Imports and Exports since 1881, Journal of the Royal
Statistical Society, 1897, Vol. LX, p. 437