Full text : Migration and business cycles

THE PRE-WAR QUARTER CENTURY
TABLE 24.—NET MALE ALIEN ARRIVALS, BY MONTHS, JANUARY, 1910, TO
DECEMBER, 1923s
Male alien immigrants and nonimmigrants less male alien emigrants and nonemigrants
Thousands of Persons
ToTAL | |
Year | SOR | JAN. | Fes. | Mar | Apr. | May | June | Jury | Ave. | SEPT. | Ocr. | Nov. | Dec.
. EAR
1010 503.8] 26.1|, 37.3] 99.1| 90.0 82.5| 56.5 26.4 31.3 27.5 27.7 8.44 9.2
1911 112.3 4.0|[; 14.0/ 41.9] i151.9) 37.6] 11.5/4 14.5|d 3.5 3.0| 5.8 d19.74d 19.5
1912 367.4 5.001 14.4/¥°48.6| 56.7/M860.7] 35.5] 29.4; 30.1{k 47.6] 41.9] 8.2¢ 10.7
1913 638.34 13.0| 25.4] 64.0 95.9( 71.9] 101.5] 63.7] 59.8] 69.8 51.5| 20.7] 18.2
1914 89.54 24.7 9.5: 37.2 67.1] 42.014 4.8 2.54:11.5]4 3.58 8.54 14.64 21.1
1915 d 24.004 14.1 0.2 4.5 6.5 7.8 2.0 4.50 17.94 9.34 22d 22d 3.8
1916 152.1 3.2] 11.9; 15.7," 17.0} 15.5 13.1 9.8 11.5 17.3] 14.6, 13.0 9.4
1917 32.87 11.7 7.9 S. 7 "11.3 2.7 0.54 “0.1/4 0.6/4 1.5 0.49 5.44 2.9
1918 8.6 5.59 3.34 1.49 0.1; 35.44 24.79 1.6 2.6 1.00 6.74% d 0.4
1919 4 61.1 6.54 3.494 4.3 1.04 3.694 7.714 7.914 12.5[4 3.84 0.6d 15.9 4.0
| |
1920 255.4 6.6; 11.94 10.6] 24.58 .27.3{+27.1{ 24.9] 17.5 34.2| 33.4] 28.0 22.4
1921 70.00 19.6] 15.1] 21.4} 15.1" 22.1 2.74 1.8d 2.0 8.14 5.2 0.84 9.6
1922 132.4 0.9/4 0.1 3.514 0.9 6.0 5.01: 13.1 .18.61- 25.9 27.0 22.1 11.2
1923 | 428.4{s 15.0) 18.8]. 29.5] 33.4. 33.1] 26.8) 48.5] 51.3 53.1] 45.7| 48.8 24.4
sFor sources of data see Table 23.
d =excess of departures over arrivals.
* =]ess than 50.
with business conditions. The depression periods of 1907 to 1908,
1911, 1913 to 1914, 1919, and 1921 to 1922, all show a net emigration,
preceded, except in 1919, by a relatively large net immigration.
The seasonal movement is not eliminated from this chart and,
consequently, some of the lower points toward the end of each year
are largely due to the normal coincidence of low immigration and
high emigration in the late fall.
Before endeavoring to make a more refined analysis of the relation
of net immigration to employment conditions, let us note briefly the
characteristics of the cyclical fluctuations in monthly male emigration
 in the few years prior to the war for which such data are
available.
Male Emigration: 1910-1914.
The cyclical fluctuations in emigration are the inverse of the
cyclical fluctuations in immigration. When industry booms, immigration
 increases and emigration decreases; when industry is
dull, immigration declines and emigration increases. This inverse
correlation of the inflow and outflow of aliens may be illustrated
by comparing the monthly data in Chart 19 for male immigrants,
male emigrants, and pig iron production, all three series being adjusted
 so as to eliminate the typical influence of seasonal factors.

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