25% MIGRATION AND BUSINESS CYCLES
“all selected” industries is presented for ‘selected outdoor” in-
dustries. Not all of net male migration, of course, goes into these
industries, but large numbers of the recent immigrants are employed
therein, particularly in pick and shovel work.
Using the same method of interpretation applied to “all selected”
industries, and assuming, for purposes of comparison, that the
entire volume of net migration is absorbed irl these outdoor indus-
tries, it would appear that in December a small excess in departures
probably lessens slightly a tendency toward increasing unemploy-
ment; in six months—March to August, inclusive—the increase in
employment 1s greater than the net number of male arrivals and
hence male migration in these months is either alleviating a shortage
of labor, or if such shortage does not exist, is merely slowing up the
decrease in unemployment which would otherwise arise from in-
creasing activity in these outdoor industries. In February the
number of net arrivals is greater than the increase in employment;
and in four months—January, September, October, and November—
employment is decreasing while arrivals exceed departures, though
in January and November the excess of arrivals is not enough to be
of appreciable significance.
On the whole, the evidence favors the conclusion that in the
months from March to August, inclusive, the seasonal distribution
of net male arrivals is well adjusted to the changes in employment
due to activities in construction and railway maintenance; that in
January, November, and December the net movement is too small
to be of great significance; and that in February, September, and
October the new arrivals must look largely to other industries for
employment.
SEASONAL FLUCTUATIONS IN IMMIGRATION UNDER THE
QUOTA ACTS
The preceding discussion has referred, in the main, to the relation
between the seasonal movements in migration and employment
prior to the Great War. The quota acts of 1921 and 1924 caused
material modifications in the seasonal distribution of immigration.
The act of 1921 permitted up to twenty per cent of the annual
quota to enter in any one month. As the immigration year begins
July 1st, the effect of this provision was to concentrate the heaviest
immigration in the months from July to November, inclusive. In
the first year of the operation of the act, beginning July 1, 1921,
30