IMMIGRATION PRIOR TO 1890 J
either of imports or immigrants, but the long depression of the
middle nineties finds a counterpart in a prolonged slump in im-
migration, with only temporary recovery movements until a long
upward swell begins in 1899.
Suggestions of the effect of the minor business uncertainties of
1900 and 1901 are found in the slight reaction in imports in the year
ending June 30, 1901, and in immigration in the year ending De-
cember 31, 1901.
In the depression of 1903-1904, both curves show a decline in
1904, and a strikingly close similarity in movement appears in the
years 1904 to 1912, inclusive. The deep depression of 1908, fol-
lowing the panic of 1907, is accompanied by a sharp decline in
immigration and imports, and the minor depression of 1911 is also
evident.
The marked boom in immigration in 1913 is unique, in that while
the second half of 1912 is marked by industrial activity and by
indications of labor scarcity, it can scarcely be said that it is obvious
that the degree of increase in industrial activity affords an adequate
explanation of the unusual increase in immigration.
The slumps in immigration during the Great War and following
the depression of 1921, which areevident on Chart 10, will receive
more detailed attention later.
Wholesale Price Fluctuations.
By linking together the indexes compiled by various investigators,
an index of wholesale prices from 1820 to date was prepared, but is
not shown in the charts in this chapter because upon examination it
appeared that the movement of the value of merchandise imports,
which includes prices as one element, affords a better basis for
comparison with immigration, particularly in the early decades,
and for more recent decades more directly pertinent data than
either prices or imports are available in the form of production and
employment statistics.
The Annual Production of Pig Iron.
The comparison made in the previous pages between imports and
immigration is necessarily somewhat sketchy, not only because it
rests merely on annual data, but also because imports are, at best,
only a partially adequate measure of industrial activity. A some-
what more direct measure is found in the annual production of pig
iron. Ordinarily, as noted in Chapter I1I, the production of pig
Q%