XIII.—SIMPLE SAMPLING OF ATTRIBUTES. )
nation 4 than for nation B, we cannot necessarily conclude that
the real mean stature is greater in the case of nation 4 : possibly
if the observations were repeated on different samples of 1000
men the ratio might be reversed.
2. The theory of such fluctuations may be termed the theory
of sampling, and there are two chief sections of the theory corre-
sponding to the theory of attributes and the theory of variables
respectively. In tossing a coin we only classify the results of the
tosses as heads or tails; in drawing balls from a mixture of black
and white balls, we only classify the balls drawn as black or as
white. These cases correspond to the theory of attributes, and
the general case may be represented as the drawing of a sample
from a universe containing both 4’s and o’s, the number or
proportion of 4’s in successive samples being observed. If, on the
other hand, we put in a bag a number of cards bearing different
values of some variable X and draw sample batches of cards, we
can form averages and measures of dispersion for the successive
batches, and these averages and measures of dispersion will vary
slightly from one batch to another. If associated measures of
two variables X and Y are recorded on each card, we can also form
correlation-coefficients for the different batches, and these will vary
in a similar manner. These cases correspond to the theory of
variables, and it is the function of the theory of sampling for such
cases to inform us as to the fluctuations to be expected in the
averages, measures of dispersion, correlation-coefficients, ete, in
successive samples. In the present and the three following
chapters the theory of sampling is dealt with for the case of
attributes alone. The theory is of great importance and interest,
not only from its applications to the checking and control of
statistical results, but also from the theoretical forms of frequency-
distribution to which it leads. Finally, in Chapter XVII. one or
two of the more important cases of the theory of sampling for
variables are briefly treated, the greater part of the theory, owing
to its difficulty, lying somewhat outside the limits of this work.
3. The theory of sampling attains its greatest simplicity if
every observation contributed to the sample may be regarded as
independent of every other. This condition of independence
holds good, e.g., for the tossing of a coin or the throwing of a die :
the result of any one throw or toss does not affect, and is un-
affected by, the results of the preceding and following tosses.
It does not hold good, on the other hand, for the drawing of balls
from a bag: if a ball be drawn from a bag containing 3 black
and 3 white balls, the remainder may be either 2 black and 3
white, or 2 white and 3 black, according as the first ball was
black or white. The result of drawing a second ball is therefore
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