< THEORY OF STATISTICS.
reduced, of course, from the original drawing, one of the squares
shown representing a square inch on the original. The actual
contour lines for the same frequencies are shown by the irregular
polygons superposed on the ellipses, the points on these polygons
having been obtained by simple graphical interpolation between
the frequencies in each row and each column—diagonal interpola-
tion between the frequencies in a row and the frequencies in a
column not being used. It will be seen that the fit of the two
lower contours is, on the whole, fair, especially considering the
high standard errors. In the case of the central contour, y= 20,
the fit looks very poor to the eye, but if the ellipse be compared
carefully with the table, the figures suggest that here again we
have only to deal with the effects of fluctuations of sampling.
For father’s stature=66 in., son’s stature= 70 in., there is
a frequency of 18:75, and an increase in this much less than the
standard error would bring the actual contour outside the ellipse.
Again, for father’s stature=68 in., son’s stature="71 in., there
is a frequency of 19, and an increase of a single unit would give
a point on the actual contour below the ellipse. Taking the
results as a whole, the fit must be regarded as quite as good as
we could expect with such small frequencies. It is perhaps of
historical interest to note that Sir Francis Galton, working with-
out a knowledge of the theory of normal correlation, suggested
that the contour lines of a similar table for the inheritance of
stature seemed to be closely represented by a series of concentric
and similar ellipses (ref. 2): the suggestion was confirmed when
he handed the problem, in abstract terms, to a mathematician,
Mr J. D. Hamilton Dickson (ref. 4), asking him to investigate
“the Surface of Frequency of Error that would result from
these data, and the various shapes and other particulars of its
sections that were made by horizontal planes” (ref. 3, p. 102).
12. The normal distribution of frequency for two variables is
an isotropic distribution, to which all the theorems of Chap. V.
§§ 11-12 apply. For if we isolate the four compartments of the
correlation-table common to the rows and columns centring
round values of the variables w,, xy , xy we have for the ratio
of the cross-products (frequency of #, #, multiplied by frequency
of 2, 2), divided by frequency of », 2; multiplied by frequency of
x, 7p),
712 ’ ’
ya u)(# =)
Assuming that 2; — 2; has been taken of the same sign as x; — x,
the exponent is of the same sign as 7, Hence the association for
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