; THEORY OF STATISTICS.
it may become, there is no opportunity for any discussion
of causation within the limits of the matter so derived. It is
only when a homogeneous division is in some way introduced
that we can begin to speak of associations and contingencies.
15. This may be done in various ways according to the
nature of the case. Thus the relative frequencies of different
botanical families, genera, or species may be discussed in
connection with the topographical characters of their habitats—
desert, marsh, or moor—and we may observe statistical associa-
tions between given genera and situations of a given topographical
type. The causes of death may be classified according to sex,
or age, or occupation, and it then becomes possible to discuss
the association of a given cause of death with one or other
of the two sexes, with a given age-group, or with a given
occupation. Again, the classifications of deaths and of occupations
are repeated at successive intervals of time; and if they have
remained strictly the same, it is also possible to discuss the
association of a given occupation or a given cause of death with
the earlier or later year of observation—i.c. to see whether the
numbers of those engaged in the given occupation or succumbing
to the given cause of death have increased or decreased. But
in such circumstances the greatest care must be taken to see
that the necessary condition as to the identity of the classifications
at the two periods is fulfilled, and unfortunately it very
seldom is fulfilled. All practical schemes of classification are
subject to alteration and improvement from time to time, and
these alterations, however desirable in themselves, render a
certain number of comparisons impossible. Even where a
classification has remained verbally the same, it is not necessarily
really the same; thus, in the case of the causes of death,
improved methods of diagnosis may transfer many deaths ‘from
one heading to another without any change in the incidence
of the disease, and so bring about a virtual change in the
classification. In any case, heterogeneous classification should
be regarded only as a partial process, incomplete until a
homogeneous division is introduced either directly or indirectly,
e.g. by repetition.
REFERENCES.
Contingency.
(1) PEARSON, KARL, ‘On the Theory of Contingency and its Relation to
Association and Normal Correlation,” Drapers’ Company Research
Memoirs, Biometric Series i.; Dulau & Co, London, 1904. (The
memoir in which the coefficient of contingency is proposed.)
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