220 MODERN MONETARY SYSTEMS
Our only remaining task is to consider the practical
steps necessary in order to carry out this policy in each of
the countries concerned. Most of these countries, like
France, could probably return to a system of notes con-
vertible abroad with the help of their own gold reserves if
the question of their political debts were settled, and if they
could substitute a long-term external loan for those specu-
lative credits which are at present keeping up their
exchanges but at the risk of allowing them to fall back.
But if we wish to examine the whole problem of a world-
wide monetary reconstruction we shall have to set up a
much more general plan. We reproduce here, with some
additions, the plan which we have already sketched out in
a previous work.!
In order to set up some system which on the whole will
resemble the one which was in force before the war it would
seem necessary to redistribute the stock of gold and supply
each country with a volume of international currency
corresponding to the volume of its foreign transactions, sub-
ject only to the following condition. Gold, which has be-
come rather scarce owing to the rise in commodity prices
even when expressed in gold, and to the fact that the
tendency to a true balance of trade has diminished since
the war, should not be in circulation at home; it would be
destined exclusively for guaranteeing that the national
fiduciary currency should be convertible abroad. But as
it is hardly to be supposed that countries which have a
fiscal effort which it presupposes will be likely to prevent the import of
superfluous luxuries to a certain extent, while it will also perhaps diminish
the capacity to save, to produce and to export. In any case there is no
direct and physical relation between Budget equilibrium and a stable
exchange which justifies one in considering that the balancing of a Budget
is a specific and sufficient remedy for an unstable exchange. Moreover, we
have demonstrated that on careful analysis of the factors in a return to
stable exchanges we discover in the last analysis—as in Austria and in
Czechoslovakia—that unofficial or official action has been taken which has
had the result of creating a supply and demand for bills at an approximately
fixed rate.
1 «Réparations, Dettes Interalliées et Restauration monétaire,” Presses
Universitaires, Paris, 1922.