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determining factor in cost must have just this result of progressive
inflation.
But why should we assume that an advance in prices would
automatically produce a rise in land values? Why might not
the farmers take the higher prices and enjoy their benefits while
leaving land values undisturbed? Because a semispeculative
attitude toward land ownership is deeply ingrained in the farmer’s
mind, especially in the corn and wheat belts, where discontent is
now most rife. That land will rise has long been an article of
faith with him. It has been so ever since the first settlement.
What lured the pioneers was not merely cheap land, but cheap
land that would become dear in time. The actual product of
pioneer farming was never an adequate reward for the pioneer’s
labor and hardships. He relied on the unearned increment to
supplement his current rewards. When he sold his farm, the
price he received was not as a rule too high, if he merited
fair compensation. But it was too high from the buyer’s
point of view, unless he could count on a further rise. And so
of the price paid by the next buyer, and the next, down to
present time.
Our western agriculture has in effect been subsidized by
unearned increment. Without this subsidy agricultural develop-
ment, would have proceeded at a much slower pace. We should
not have flooded the industrial cities and Europe with cheap food.
Perhaps a slower development would have been sounder. But
we cannot go back and revise the facts of history.
When we find that land in Iowa, Nebraska, Minnesota, Kansas
and the Dakotas is held at a price that represents a capitaliza-
tion of its earnings at three per cent or less, we may be sure that
the belief that land will go on rising is still vivid in the com-
munity mind. An artificial raising of prices of farm products
would result in the validation of this belief. Land would rise and
in the consequent boom immense areas would change hands.
The volume of mortgages would increase, and the willing fields
would have to reconcile themselves to steadily increasing indem-
nity charges.
THE FARMERS’ INDEMNITY
Some readers will instantly conclude that the one and all
sufficient remedy for this deep seated malady is the Single Tax.