Z THEORY OF STATISTICS
of the denominators from those of the numerators we have the
logarithms of the correlations of the first-order. It is also as well
to calculate at once, for reference in the calculation of standard-
deviations of the second-order, the values of log 1-72 for the
first-order coefficients (col. 9).
Having obtained the correlations we can now proceed to the
regressions. If we wish to find all the regression-equations, we
shall have six regressions to calculate from equations of the form
b123="195" T1.3/023.
These will involve all the six standard-deviations of the first
order og Og Og Ogg etc. But the standard-deviations of
the first-order are not in themselves of much interest, and the
standard-deviations of the second-order are so, as being the
standard-errors or root-mean-square errors of estimate made in
using the regression-equations of the second-order. We may
save needless arithmetic, therefore, by replacing the standard-
deviations of the first-order by those of the second, omitting the
former entirely, and transforming the above equation for &,4
to the form
b193= "193" T103/Taus.
This transformation is a useful one and should be noted by the
student. The values of each o may be calculated twice inde-
pendently by the formule of the form
Tr95=0y(L = 7h)! (1 —17s,)}
== oy(1 od 72:4 (1 i 72.5)
so as to check the arithmetic; the work is rapidly done if the
values of log /1 —72 have been tabulated: The values found are
log 0.53 =0'06146 O93=1'15
log 0y,5=184584 0p15="070
log 05,,=0'34571 Ogq9= 222
From these and the logarithms of the »’s we have
log 6,55 =008116,d,,,= — 1:21 : log bia =1'36174, b,,,= +023
log by, = 164993, by 5= — 045 : log by; =1'33917, bpp; = +022
log by, ,= 193024, by; ,= +085 : log bgp; = 033891, gy; = + 2°18
That is, the regression-equations are
(1) z,=-1212,+023 z,
(2) wg=—045 2, +022 z,
(3) 2g= +085 x, +218 «,
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