THE HOLDING MOVEMENT IN AGRICULTURE 271
the twelve-year period, 1910 to 1921, reveals no such condition.
The average farm price for wool for the quarter ending July
31st is given by the Department of Agriculture at twenty-nine
and one-half cents per pound. For the quarter ending December
31st the average price was twenty-seven and eight-tenths cents
per pound and for the quarter ending April 31st, almost a year
after shearing, the average price was thirty cents per pound.
If the farmer had sold in July, when his wool was ready, he
would have received twenty-nine cents a pound. If he had held
for the very highest seasonal price, that of the following March
he would have received thirty and six-tenths cents per pound.
The difference, one and six-tenths cents a pound, minus the cost
of carrying, represents his gain.
The quarterly prices for scoured territory wool, Boston, cover-
ing the same period, are quite as convincing. The average price
for the quarter ending July 31st was $1.02 per pound; for the
quarter ending December 31st, $1.00 6/10 per pound and for the
quarter ending April 31st, $1.00 3/10 per pound. (Year Book,
Department of Agriculture, 1921, p. 720.)
Statistics covering the four years from 1922 to 1926 show sub-
stantially the same results. In every year but one, if shrinkage
and carrying charges be taken into account those farmers who
did not sell their wool immediately after shearing suffered severe
losses. (Year Book, Dept. of Agriculture, 1925, p. 1173. Crops
and Markets, Jan. 1927, p. 32.)
The study of price movement for other agricultural products
not traded in on the exchanges show results paralleling those for
wool. The conclusion is, therefore, inevitable that the normal
working of the law of supply and demand in the highly developed
market of today brings about such an adjustment of prices that
the withholding of crops from the market for higher seasonal
prices does not usually result in gain to the holding farmer but
may involve him in speculative losses. He is fortunate indeed if
his delayed marketing compensates him for his carrying charges.
This significant fact is not openly admitted by the advocates of
the Holding Movement but the entire trend of recent attempts
at legislation for farm relief speaks eloquently of its tacit accept-
ance by them. For the past three years they have placed
emphasis not upon the advantages of later seasonal prices but
upon the possibility of raising prices through the creation of a