Full text: The statistical verification of social and economic theory

SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC THEORY 
11 
part to advertise abroad the urgent need for straw and 
to call for students to produce it.’ 
No one should fail to read Dr. Clapham’s witty and 
penetrating article on ‘ Empty Economic Boxes’ in the 
Economic Journal, 1922, and Professor Pigou’s rejoinder. 
Says the economic historian, weary of analysis :— 
I myself did not appreciate how completely empty 
the boxes were until I had given a number of public 
demonstrations with them. And if more acute minds 
are not likely to be so misled, the rank and file surely 
are. Unless we have a good prospect in the near future 
of filling the boxes reasonably full, there is, I hold, 
grave danger to an essentially practical science, such 
as Economics, in the elaboration of hypothetical con- 
clusions about, say, human welfare and taxes in relation 
to industries which cannot be specified.’ 
Professor Pigou remarks that Dr. Clapham ‘ maintains 
three separate things ; first, that his economic boxes, so 
long as they are empty, cannot have practical usefulness ; 
secondly, that, even if they were filled, they would not 
have practical usefulness ; thirdly, that they cannot be 
filled’. When he deals with the third he concludes, ‘ To 
declare, of a piece of work that has not yet been seriously 
tackled, that it is impossible, is, in my judgement, at 
least premature. Something, I believe, might be ac- 
complished if economists would take counsel with leaders 
of business, expert in particular branches of production. 
Of course, if Dr. Clapham, or anybody else, goes to them 
and says, “ My dear fellows, an © analytic’ up at Cam- 
bridge wants to know if your industries obey the laws of 
diminishing, constant, or increasing returns ”’, no great 
illumination is likely to result. But, if he were to ask 
them to discuss the conditions, as regards the relation 
between aggregate output and cost, under which various 
important articles have been and are being produced— 
which is really asking a great deal more—I for one do 
not believe that he would always come empty away. 
Nor need we rely only on the general judgement of people
	        
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