that the first method would give the best results, but this is
not necessarily the case. Growers do not always weigh or
measure their crops, and in any case do not usually do so till they
come to be sold. Thus a farmer may keep wheat in the rick and
not sell off the whole of his crop for a year or sometimes longer,
some crops, such as barley, oats, roots or hay may be consumed
on the farm, and so far as this is the case many farmers keep no
accurate records of quantities. In short, though farmers may
make some estimates for their own information, either of their
total yield or of the part they expect to sell, it is not possible to
rely upon them in general for exact or complete information. If
every producer were willing and able to supply a fair estimate of
the output of his crops, the average result would, no doubt, be
more accurate than the estimates of a limited number of expert
estimators. The difficulty of obtaining a statement from the
producer has, however, made it necessary in practice to adopt
the method of estimating as a means of obtaining annual informa-
tion as to the production of crops. In England and Wales the
Ministry has the assistance of some 320 Crop Reporters, for the
most part land agents, valuers, and others with considerable
local experience, who estimate the yield per acre of the principal
crops, parish by parish. Each parish estimate is multiplied by
the acreage of the crop in the parish as returned by occupiers on
the Agricultural Schedule and in this way the total production
in the parish and hence in the country is obtained. As there are
roughly 13,000 parishes, the final estimate of production is the
result of practically the same number of separate estimates based
on local knowledge and weighted in proportion to the acreage.
These final estimates are made after the crop is harvested, when
actual results are known in many cases.
The Crop Reporter does not, of course, rely merely on his
own observation in making these parish estimates, but supple-
ments this by local enquiry from growers, and in the case of
corn, from threshing machine proprietors. It is, however, the
duty of the Crop Reporter to determine on the basis of the
information thus obtained what can fairly be regarded as the
average of the parish. It will be seen that, given reasonable
skill on the part of the Reporters, the system should result in a
high degree of statistical accuracy, and as regards the crops which
are estimated annually this method has been adopted for the
census of 1925.
The annual estimates made in this way cover wheat, barley,
oats, mixed corn, beans, peas, roots, potatoes, hay, sugar beet
and hops. There remain, however, many important items,
such as milk and dairy produce, meat, wool, poultry and eggs,
fruit and vegetables, which present much greater difficulty.
To supply these missing data is the main object of the
Agricultural Census, and the method adopted so far as practicable
has been to obtain from producers returns of output. The system
varies with different products, but it has not been found possible
in any case to obtain such complete information from producers