STUDIES IN SECURITIES
I nT aC Te
Pe 2 es ee
Ce gore
Flat oi
a
At 79% Erie’s operating expense ratio presents opportunity for
savings; a 5% reduction would add $4 to common share earnings.
Forecast of Erie earnings, worked out in the interest of Chesa-
peake & Ohio Ry., expects on the common stock as probably to be
increased better than $6.60 share earnings in 1927, $8.10 in 1928,
$9.40 in 1929, $10.60 in 1930, and $12.00 in 1931, assuming $5,304,-
000 annual coal subsidiary dividends or $3.50 a share equivalent.
Controlling stock in Erie is now held in favor of ultimate grouping
with others as in the attempted Nickel Plate merger but an ex-
change of shares or lease is unlikely for the time being.
Resemblance of the present Erie R. R. to the Southern Ry. of a
few years ago is surely not remote. Plenty of traffic, prospect of
carrying it more cheaply, ability to raise new capital for better-
ments, current earnings sufficient for preferred dividend payments,
make Erie stocks attractive for speculation.
General Electric Co.
To an enviable record in fifteen years before, General Electric Co.
added a remarkable showing in the war and the immediately post-
war period, and in the past four years, 1923-26 of prosperity,
made new records in earning power,
From 1910-15 earnings ranged from 11.10% to 16.25% and the
lowest figure since 1902 was 7.40% in 1908. Cash rate of 8% in
dividends was maintained, supplemented by a 809% distribution
in stock in 1912.
Billings expanded from $90,467,000 in 1914 to $275,758,000 in 1920
and inventories from $29,292,000 to $118,109,000, successfully fi-
nanced by a $37,000,000 increase in stock, $23,000,000 increase in
funded debt, and $45,000,000 bank borrowings. Similar flexibility
was shown in contraction in 1921 when billings decreased 20%,
bank loans were paid off, and 13% earned on the stock. War
profits and prudent financing resulted in $63,000,000 cash and
(fovernment securities at the end of that severe year.
Thus the way was prepared for full participation in the prosperity
of the past four vears. viz:
1926. .
1925. .
1924. .
1923.
1922
Billings
$326,974,000
290,290,000
299,252,000
271,310,000
200.194.000
*Figured on basis of present no par
changed for $100 par value in May, 1926.
{391
Net Income
$46,672,000
38,641,000
39,236,000
33,525,000
26.231.000
*Surplus
per Share
$6.14
5.12
5.28
4.60
3.79
shares of which four were ex-