XII.—PARTIAL CORRELATION.
ar, again, in terms of percentage-changes (ratio — 100): —
Percentage change in pauperism
= + 1°4 per cent.
+0325 times the change in out-relief ratio.
+1-383 3s ,, proportion of old.
- 0-383 . ,» population.
These results render the interpretation of the total coefficients,
which might be equally consistent with several hypotheses, more
clear and definite. The questions would arise, for instance,
whether the correlation of changes in pauperism with changes in
out-relief might not be due to correlation of the latter with the
other factors introduced, and whether the negative correlation with
changes in population might not be due solely to the correlation
of the latter with changes in the proportion of old. As a matter
of fact, the partial correlations of changes in pauperism with
changes in out-relief and in proportion of old are slightly less than
the total correlations, but the partial correlation with changes in
population is numerically greater, the figures being
r= +052 T1034 = +046
13 = TL T1394 = +028
ry, = —-Uld Tigo = — 0°36
So far, then, as we have taken the factors of the case into
account, there appears to be a true correlation between changes
in pauperism and changes in out-relief, proportion of old, and
population—the latter serving, of course, as some index to
changes in general prosperity. The relative influences of the
three factors are indicated by the regression-equation above.
[For the full discussion of the case cf. Jour. Roy. Stat. Soc.
vol. Ixii., 1899.]
15. The correlation between pauperism and labourers’ earnings
exhibited by the figures of Example i. was illustrated by a diagram
(fig. 40, p. 180), in which scales of “pauperism” and “earnings ”
were taken along two axes at right angles, and every observed
pair of values was entered by marking the corresponding point
with a small circle: the diagram was completed by drawing in
the lines of regression. In precisely the same way the correlation
between three variables may be represented by a model showing the
distribution of points in space ; for any set of observed values Xp
X,, X,; may be regarded as determining a point in space, just as
any pair of values X, and X, may be regarded as determining a
point in a plane. Fig. 45 is drawn from such a model, constructed
from the data of Example i. Four pieces of wood are fixed together
245